Race 6B

penobscot-bay-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Bitney 16.5% 16.3% 15.7% 14.3% 14.4% 9.8% 7.6% 3.3% 1.8% 0.2% 0.1%
Teagan Cunningham 3.4% 3.6% 3.1% 5.8% 7.3% 7.5% 12.1% 10.8% 19.0% 16.4% 11.0%
Peter Galloway 2.2% 1.7% 2.9% 2.9% 3.2% 4.7% 6.1% 11.8% 13.6% 22.5% 28.4%
CJ Mckenna 11.5% 11.1% 12.7% 12.7% 13.5% 14.2% 9.7% 6.8% 5.6% 2.0% 0.2%
Aidan naughton 18.1% 16.9% 14.5% 14.2% 12.0% 10.5% 6.5% 4.2% 2.3% 0.5% 0.3%
Casey Cabot 16.9% 17.6% 13.9% 15.1% 10.8% 9.0% 7.3% 5.2% 3.1% 1.0% 0.1%
Vincent Yannelli 7.5% 5.9% 8.6% 10.0% 9.7% 12.4% 13.2% 13.3% 9.7% 6.9% 2.8%
Thomas Walden 15.2% 14.9% 16.5% 11.8% 11.8% 10.2% 9.3% 6.9% 2.2% 1.1% 0.1%
Christos Karplus 4.3% 5.6% 4.6% 6.3% 6.9% 9.7% 12.0% 14.8% 14.7% 14.4% 6.7%
Carter Brock 3.2% 4.5% 5.5% 4.9% 6.9% 7.5% 10.8% 15.1% 15.7% 14.8% 11.1%
Corinne Poitras 1.2% 1.9% 2.0% 2.0% 3.5% 4.5% 5.4% 7.8% 12.3% 20.2% 39.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.