Race 7B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Bitney 16.3% 16.7% 16.7% 14.3% 12.6% 10.2% 6.4% 3.6% 2.4% 0.6% 0.2%
Thomas Walden 14.3% 15.2% 14.2% 12.2% 12.7% 10.6% 9.1% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.0%
Casey Cabot 15.8% 14.6% 15.4% 14.6% 11.6% 11.9% 7.4% 5.5% 2.6% 0.5% 0.1%
Aidan naughton 16.8% 15.5% 14.6% 15.5% 11.6% 10.7% 7.7% 4.6% 2.1% 0.9% 0.0%
CJ Mckenna 14.4% 12.0% 12.7% 12.0% 11.6% 12.2% 10.3% 8.6% 4.5% 1.3% 0.4%
Peter Galloway 1.7% 1.9% 2.4% 3.4% 4.8% 4.0% 6.9% 10.1% 13.5% 24.5% 26.8%
Teagan Cunningham 4.6% 3.8% 3.8% 5.4% 6.4% 7.8% 10.7% 14.3% 16.2% 16.4% 10.6%
Vincent Yannelli 6.6% 7.6% 7.8% 9.2% 9.8% 11.5% 13.2% 11.4% 11.8% 8.6% 2.5%
Corinne Poitras 1.5% 2.3% 1.9% 1.3% 3.2% 3.5% 5.2% 7.6% 11.4% 17.8% 44.3%
Christos Karplus 4.8% 5.6% 5.2% 6.6% 8.8% 9.3% 11.8% 13.6% 15.7% 12.4% 6.2%
Carter Brock 3.2% 4.8% 5.3% 5.5% 6.9% 8.3% 11.3% 13.5% 16.4% 15.9% 8.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.