Race 8B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Walden 12.5% 14.3% 12.9% 14.6% 14.4% 12.1% 10.4% 4.9% 2.1% 1.6% 0.2%
Casey Cabot 17.8% 17.1% 14.3% 12.6% 12.3% 10.3% 8.7% 4.1% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Jack Bitney 16.3% 15.1% 17.7% 14.1% 12.3% 10.1% 6.7% 5.1% 2.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Peter Galloway 1.4% 2.2% 2.4% 3.1% 3.3% 4.9% 6.5% 8.7% 15.5% 22.3% 29.7%
CJ Mckenna 13.6% 12.5% 13.4% 11.2% 12.5% 11.6% 9.9% 8.1% 4.9% 1.5% 0.8%
Aidan naughton 17.6% 17.4% 14.3% 14.9% 12.9% 7.9% 7.4% 4.8% 2.2% 0.4% 0.2%
Corinne Poitras 1.8% 2.3% 2.6% 2.4% 2.0% 3.1% 6.7% 9.7% 10.3% 20.9% 38.2%
Vincent Yannelli 6.9% 6.1% 9.2% 8.8% 9.8% 13.7% 10.4% 12.9% 10.8% 9.1% 2.3%
Christos Karplus 4.8% 4.7% 4.6% 7.1% 6.4% 9.0% 12.2% 15.5% 14.1% 13.9% 7.7%
Teagan Cunningham 3.7% 3.7% 4.0% 5.7% 6.7% 7.8% 10.1% 13.1% 18.8% 15.7% 10.7%
Carter Brock 3.6% 4.6% 4.6% 5.5% 7.4% 9.5% 11.0% 13.1% 17.0% 13.7% 10.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.