Race 9B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

36.4%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Thomas Walden 12.3% 14.1% 13.7% 13.2% 14.0% 13.9% 8.4% 6.3% 2.7% 1.1% 0.3%
Jack Bitney 18.2% 17.7% 15.5% 12.9% 12.6% 9.4% 6.8% 4.8% 1.8% 0.3% 0.0%
Teagan Cunningham 3.5% 3.4% 4.8% 4.3% 4.4% 8.3% 11.2% 12.5% 17.4% 16.1% 14.1%
Casey Cabot 16.1% 13.9% 15.7% 14.9% 13.5% 9.1% 7.9% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.1%
Peter Galloway 2.5% 2.7% 2.4% 3.1% 3.8% 4.6% 8.0% 10.0% 14.2% 20.5% 28.2%
CJ Mckenna 12.0% 13.1% 11.7% 14.9% 12.4% 10.2% 10.4% 7.5% 5.5% 1.8% 0.5%
Aidan naughton 20.1% 18.8% 15.1% 11.2% 12.8% 9.1% 5.8% 3.7% 2.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Vincent Yannelli 6.7% 5.8% 8.4% 10.8% 9.6% 13.1% 11.6% 13.4% 11.1% 7.7% 1.8%
Christos Karplus 4.2% 5.0% 4.4% 7.4% 7.0% 9.2% 13.9% 14.2% 14.8% 13.0% 6.9%
Carter Brock 3.2% 4.3% 5.4% 5.6% 6.4% 9.5% 10.4% 13.4% 15.5% 16.5% 9.8%
Corinne Poitras 1.2% 1.2% 2.9% 1.7% 3.5% 3.6% 5.6% 8.8% 12.1% 21.2% 38.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.