Race 10B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

54.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Casey Cabot 15.2% 15.3% 16.8% 14.1% 12.7% 11.2% 6.5% 5.8% 1.0% 1.3% 0.1%
Teagan Cunningham 3.8% 3.5% 3.2% 4.7% 7.2% 8.7% 9.8% 13.3% 18.1% 16.3% 11.4%
Aidan naughton 16.2% 16.0% 16.2% 14.5% 12.5% 9.3% 8.0% 4.5% 2.4% 0.4% 0.0%
Thomas Walden 13.5% 13.6% 12.1% 15.1% 11.9% 12.7% 9.4% 6.1% 4.3% 1.0% 0.3%
Jack Bitney 18.7% 17.9% 15.1% 12.1% 14.9% 7.2% 7.8% 2.9% 2.7% 0.7% 0.0%
Vincent Yannelli 5.7% 7.5% 7.3% 8.6% 9.0% 11.7% 14.4% 12.6% 11.0% 8.4% 3.8%
Christos Karplus 6.0% 4.3% 5.7% 7.0% 7.3% 10.1% 12.6% 13.8% 14.7% 12.0% 6.5%
CJ Mckenna 13.5% 13.3% 14.2% 12.9% 11.8% 11.0% 9.3% 7.7% 4.2% 1.8% 0.3%
Corinne Poitras 1.7% 1.5% 2.3% 2.1% 2.8% 2.9% 5.0% 7.8% 11.5% 19.3% 43.1%
Carter Brock 3.6% 4.7% 4.5% 6.0% 5.3% 8.3% 10.2% 16.4% 14.5% 17.6% 8.9%
Peter Galloway 2.1% 2.4% 2.6% 2.9% 4.6% 6.9% 7.0% 9.1% 15.6% 21.2% 25.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.