Race 11B

penobscot-bay-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

45.5%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
11
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
Jack Bitney 16.4% 17.0% 15.9% 14.3% 12.9% 11.1% 7.2% 3.2% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1%
Aidan naughton 18.4% 17.5% 15.0% 14.1% 12.5% 9.6% 5.9% 5.0% 1.6% 0.3% 0.1%
Vincent Yannelli 6.5% 5.4% 7.1% 8.2% 8.4% 12.3% 13.5% 14.0% 12.9% 8.3% 3.4%
Casey Cabot 15.3% 15.1% 15.0% 14.3% 15.0% 9.2% 8.1% 4.4% 2.3% 1.3% 0.0%
Carter Brock 4.1% 3.3% 4.5% 5.1% 6.9% 8.6% 11.0% 11.8% 17.4% 15.5% 11.8%
Teagan Cunningham 2.6% 3.5% 4.7% 5.8% 5.5% 7.7% 11.8% 13.1% 15.3% 18.4% 11.6%
Thomas Walden 16.1% 15.4% 15.2% 12.0% 12.4% 10.6% 8.2% 5.7% 2.9% 1.4% 0.1%
CJ Mckenna 13.0% 14.1% 13.9% 13.1% 11.5% 11.7% 9.6% 6.5% 4.7% 1.6% 0.3%
Christos Karplus 3.8% 5.3% 4.8% 7.1% 7.5% 9.8% 11.4% 16.6% 13.8% 12.8% 7.1%
Peter Galloway 2.5% 1.9% 1.9% 3.4% 4.5% 6.1% 7.0% 10.1% 15.5% 20.6% 26.5%
Corinne Poitras 1.3% 1.5% 2.0% 2.6% 2.9% 3.3% 6.3% 9.6% 12.1% 19.4% 39.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.