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📊 Prediction Accuracy
20.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.8
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Roger Williams University3.15+5.85vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+2.50vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+4.29vs Predicted
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4University of New Hampshire1.81+7.16vs Predicted
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7University of Vermont3.11+0.23vs Predicted
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8Amherst College2.01+2.71vs Predicted
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9U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32-2.64vs Predicted
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10Middlebury College1.87+1.11vs Predicted
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11Northeastern University2.70-2.59vs Predicted
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12Maine Maritime Academy1.38+0.39vs Predicted
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13Boston University4.07-8.68vs Predicted
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14Connecticut College3.66-8.42vs Predicted
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15University of Rhode Island3.07-7.49vs Predicted
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16University of Connecticut2.59-7.22vs Predicted
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18Tufts University2.91-10.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.85Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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4.5Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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7.29Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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11.16University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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7.23University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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10.71Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
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6.36U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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11.11Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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8.41Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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12.39Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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4.32Boston University4.070.2%1st Place
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5.58Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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7.51University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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8.78University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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7.77Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Tamblyn | 8.2% | 7.1% | 8.6% | 8.5% | 8.0% | 7.5% | 8.5% | 7.6% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 6.9% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 0.4% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 16.0% | 15.5% | 12.5% | 12.6% | 11.1% | 8.3% | 6.6% | 6.1% | 4.7% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 5.8% | 6.7% | 8.6% | 7.1% | 6.6% | 7.6% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 3.8% | 2.5% | 1.1% |
| Neal Drake | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 2.7% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 13.4% | 16.6% | 18.8% |
| Quentin Chafee | 6.4% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 6.4% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 9.0% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 9.1% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 5.8% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Tyler Black | 2.3% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 2.9% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 3.4% | 4.1% | 4.6% | 6.1% | 9.1% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 13.9% | 13.6% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 9.7% | 6.7% | 8.5% | 9.6% | 9.6% | 9.1% | 8.6% | 9.7% | 7.9% | 6.1% | 5.3% | 3.6% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.5% |
| Benjamin Brown | 2.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 3.4% | 4.9% | 5.4% | 4.8% | 7.4% | 10.9% | 12.6% | 16.6% | 19.1% |
| Ryan White | 4.0% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 5.2% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 9.3% | 8.8% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 2.9% |
| Andrew McHenry | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 2.2% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 7.5% | 10.6% | 20.0% | 35.9% |
| Ben Greenfield | 17.4% | 17.2% | 14.3% | 10.3% | 10.2% | 8.5% | 5.8% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 1.4% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Michael Marshall | 10.2% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 9.7% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 2.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Weston Barlow | 5.3% | 7.5% | 5.9% | 7.2% | 6.6% | 7.9% | 8.5% | 8.1% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.2% | 3.1% | 1.2% |
| John Giuliano | 4.1% | 3.2% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.5% | 6.2% | 7.1% | 6.8% | 6.6% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.4% | 4.0% |
| Andrew Meleny | 5.9% | 5.6% | 6.2% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 7.3% | 8.5% | 6.6% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.