Race 1A

philly-fleet-race-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13
Porter Killian 25.3% 19.7% 17.9% 16.2% 9.7% 5.1% 3.8% 1.3% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Jensen McTighe 27.3% 23.4% 15.6% 13.5% 10.2% 5.3% 2.7% 1.2% 0.7% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Max Gillette 10.9% 16.9% 15.4% 13.5% 12.7% 13.9% 6.8% 5.6% 3.3% 0.6% 0.4% 0.0% 0.0%
Jacob Pollak 6.1% 7.1% 8.6% 10.5% 12.9% 13.2% 12.9% 10.6% 9.5% 6.2% 1.8% 0.6% 0.0%
Andrew O'Brien 9.7% 8.7% 12.7% 11.8% 11.8% 13.2% 12.9% 9.9% 5.3% 2.8% 1.0% 0.2% 0.0%
Bryce Merrill 1.2% 1.4% 2.6% 3.2% 4.2% 3.6% 6.5% 10.2% 13.0% 17.1% 18.3% 16.1% 2.6%
Luke Dunton 1.8% 2.3% 2.4% 3.2% 3.5% 4.7% 6.6% 10.0% 13.4% 14.6% 19.8% 15.5% 2.2%
William Sunkler 7.3% 6.4% 7.4% 8.8% 12.7% 14.2% 15.6% 10.9% 8.6% 5.7% 1.9% 0.5% 0.0%
Declan Gaylo 1.4% 2.3% 2.5% 3.6% 4.1% 4.0% 7.9% 10.6% 12.8% 17.0% 17.4% 14.5% 1.9%
Veronica Lane 1.4% 2.4% 3.2% 3.1% 3.5% 6.0% 6.5% 11.3% 14.0% 16.7% 15.6% 14.0% 2.3%
Nicholas Manfredi 6.9% 8.3% 10.2% 10.4% 12.8% 13.0% 12.6% 11.5% 7.8% 4.3% 1.8% 0.4% 0.0%
Cathleen Murphy 0.6% 1.0% 1.3% 1.9% 1.8% 3.6% 4.8% 6.2% 9.1% 12.8% 19.4% 31.2% 6.3%
Kevin Batchelor 0.1% 0.1% 0.2% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.4% 0.7% 1.6% 2.0% 2.6% 7.0% 84.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.