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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.17+2.10vs Predicted
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2Villanova University1.57+2.23vs Predicted
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3University of South Florida2.25-0.07vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+1.93vs Predicted
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5Drexel University0.86+0.73vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.39vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-3.97vs Predicted
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10Ocean County College-0.60-0.93vs Predicted
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11University of Pittsburgh-0.62-1.81vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.05-2.02vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-4.34vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-5.07vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.1University of Pennsylvania2.170.2%1st Place
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4.23Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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2.93University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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5.93Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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5.73Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.61SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.03Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.07Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.19University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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8.66Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.93Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.6Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Killian | 24.7% | 21.2% | 17.8% | 13.4% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 13.3% | 13.4% | 16.9% | 14.0% | 12.0% | 12.2% | 8.4% | 5.8% | 2.4% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 26.0% | 23.6% | 16.7% | 14.4% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.8% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 13.9% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 6.1% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.7% | 13.9% | 10.3% | 9.6% | 5.3% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.0% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 10.9% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 12.7% | 11.8% | 7.1% | 4.8% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.8% | 10.2% | 12.6% | 10.2% | 11.8% | 13.7% | 13.6% | 10.1% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 1.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.2% | 2.7% | 2.1% | 2.3% | 4.5% | 3.3% | 7.1% | 8.9% | 14.0% | 16.8% | 18.6% | 17.2% | 1.3% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.1% | 5.0% | 4.7% | 9.0% | 14.1% | 14.9% | 19.4% | 18.2% | 2.7% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.9% | 0.8% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.2% | 2.5% | 4.0% | 6.6% | 8.8% | 13.7% | 19.0% | 28.7% | 7.6% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.5% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 4.5% | 4.7% | 5.7% | 8.3% | 12.9% | 13.7% | 15.9% | 16.1% | 11.3% | 1.8% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.1% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 3.7% | 4.3% | 5.7% | 7.5% | 10.4% | 13.1% | 16.9% | 16.1% | 15.3% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.5% | 7.7% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.