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📊 Prediction Accuracy
46.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania2.17+2.06vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+0.90vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+1.26vs Predicted
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4Drexel University0.86+1.81vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.59vs Predicted
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6Ocean County College-0.60+3.12vs Predicted
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7Washington College0.80-1.18vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.92vs Predicted
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11University of Pittsburgh-0.62-1.81vs Predicted
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12University of Delaware-1.05-2.02vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-0.47-4.33vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-5.09vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.06University of Pennsylvania2.170.3%1st Place
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2.9University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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4.26Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.81Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.59SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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9.12Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.82Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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5.08Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.19University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.98University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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8.67Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.91Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.6Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Killian | 26.3% | 20.0% | 16.9% | 14.4% | 11.6% | 5.2% | 2.7% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 27.3% | 23.1% | 17.4% | 12.9% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 11.7% | 15.8% | 15.3% | 13.7% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.3% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 6.1% | 6.9% | 9.4% | 9.9% | 13.3% | 11.1% | 14.0% | 11.9% | 9.5% | 5.9% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.9% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.0% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 14.9% | 11.5% | 8.4% | 3.6% | 2.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.1% | 1.4% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 9.7% | 12.8% | 15.6% | 20.0% | 16.4% | 2.1% |
| William Sunkler | 6.7% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 13.5% | 14.5% | 12.8% | 9.5% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.6% | 10.4% | 10.8% | 12.5% | 12.9% | 15.6% | 11.1% | 8.8% | 5.5% | 2.1% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 9.0% | 11.8% | 18.5% | 17.3% | 18.5% | 2.8% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.7% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 8.1% | 14.7% | 18.0% | 29.6% | 7.3% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 6.9% | 7.6% | 11.3% | 15.7% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 11.7% | 1.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 12.8% | 17.3% | 18.0% | 14.6% | 1.7% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.4% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 6.9% | 84.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.