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📊 Prediction Accuracy
23.1%
Within 2 Positions
3.2
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Villanova University1.52+3.28vs Predicted
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2Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+3.08vs Predicted
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3Ocean County College-0.60+6.16vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+1.89vs Predicted
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5University of Pennsylvania2.17-1.95vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute-0.47+2.76vs Predicted
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7University of South Florida2.25-4.10vs Predicted
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8Drexel University0.86-2.36vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-0.62+0.18vs Predicted
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11SUNY Stony Brook0.90-5.35vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.05-3.09vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-5.11vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-2.39vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.28Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.08Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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9.16Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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5.89Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania2.170.3%1st Place
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8.76Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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2.9University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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5.64Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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9.18University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.65SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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9.91University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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8.89Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.61Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Erin McGarry | 13.0% | 12.6% | 15.8% | 14.4% | 14.8% | 11.3% | 9.3% | 4.1% | 2.7% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.3% | 13.5% | 12.9% | 12.6% | 9.6% | 4.8% | 2.3% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.2% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 1.9% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 7.2% | 10.3% | 13.8% | 17.6% | 16.7% | 17.1% | 2.2% |
| William Sunkler | 6.4% | 7.7% | 6.9% | 10.8% | 11.5% | 13.1% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.1% |
| Porter Killian | 25.4% | 20.6% | 18.9% | 13.4% | 9.3% | 7.2% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.0% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 3.4% | 4.8% | 6.2% | 6.7% | 10.2% | 11.7% | 18.5% | 17.2% | 12.9% | 1.8% |
| Jensen McTighe | 28.0% | 22.6% | 17.7% | 13.3% | 8.5% | 4.7% | 3.0% | 1.5% | 0.7% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 6.1% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 11.9% | 10.7% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 12.1% | 8.4% | 3.3% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 3.9% | 5.9% | 4.4% | 8.4% | 13.2% | 16.3% | 17.6% | 19.2% | 2.7% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.1% | 7.9% | 9.4% | 10.8% | 12.6% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 2.2% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 1.0% | 0.5% | 1.3% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 6.4% | 12.1% | 11.1% | 20.7% | 27.0% | 6.1% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.4% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 4.4% | 7.2% | 10.4% | 14.3% | 16.1% | 18.0% | 14.1% | 1.8% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 7.0% | 85.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.