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📊 Prediction Accuracy
61.5%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
13
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+1.94vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.17+0.01vs Predicted
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4Washington College0.80+1.93vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.42vs Predicted
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7Villanova University1.52-2.73vs Predicted
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8University of Pittsburgh-0.62+1.04vs Predicted
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9Drexel University0.86-3.30vs Predicted
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10Webb Institute-0.47-1.13vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-0.60-1.91vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.05-3.10vs Predicted
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14Monmouth University-0.46-5.08vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-2.40vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.94University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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3.01University of Pennsylvania2.170.3%1st Place
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5.93Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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5.15Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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5.58SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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4.27Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.04University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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5.7Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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8.87Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.09Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.9University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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8.92Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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12.6Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 26.5% | 21.5% | 19.5% | 14.3% | 8.3% | 5.6% | 2.1% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Killian | 26.4% | 21.9% | 18.1% | 11.7% | 9.9% | 6.6% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.2% | 6.4% | 8.4% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 13.7% | 13.1% | 9.1% | 5.3% | 2.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.1% | 9.7% | 10.9% | 14.0% | 13.2% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 9.2% | 6.6% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 7.6% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 10.7% | 12.9% | 13.9% | 11.7% | 7.8% | 5.0% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin McGarry | 12.7% | 15.6% | 14.2% | 14.0% | 12.2% | 12.6% | 8.9% | 5.2% | 3.0% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.7% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.4% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 12.8% | 15.8% | 18.2% | 17.2% | 2.5% |
| Jacob Pollak | 7.0% | 7.4% | 7.6% | 10.6% | 13.6% | 13.3% | 13.8% | 11.2% | 8.5% | 4.3% | 2.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.5% | 2.3% | 3.0% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 4.4% | 6.9% | 9.9% | 13.1% | 18.1% | 15.4% | 15.8% | 1.9% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.9% | 2.2% | 4.4% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 9.7% | 14.1% | 16.6% | 16.4% | 17.2% | 3.2% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.9% | 0.5% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.6% | 4.9% | 4.6% | 7.2% | 9.6% | 14.4% | 19.3% | 27.4% | 5.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.8% | 2.8% | 4.7% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 14.6% | 19.6% | 14.4% | 1.9% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 3.5% | 6.7% | 84.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.