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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Drexel University0.86+4.95vs Predicted
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2University of South Florida2.25+0.91vs Predicted
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3Villanova University1.57+1.29vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.85vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.80+1.23vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook0.90-1.03vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.88vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.05-1.09vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46-0.69vs Predicted
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11Webb Institute-0.47-1.67vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh-0.62-2.37vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College-0.60-3.44vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.21-1.72vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.95Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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2.91University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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4.29Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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3.15University of Pennsylvania2.170.2%1st Place
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6.23Washington College0.800.0%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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5.12Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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7.91Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.31Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.33Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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9.63University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.56Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.28University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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13.35Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jacob Pollak | 5.6% | 7.8% | 9.8% | 11.6% | 8.2% | 13.5% | 12.4% | 10.8% | 8.3% | 6.5% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 28.2% | 20.6% | 19.6% | 12.8% | 8.7% | 4.8% | 3.7% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 12.7% | 15.0% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 14.5% | 11.4% | 9.0% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Killian | 23.7% | 21.4% | 17.6% | 13.4% | 11.4% | 6.5% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 4.3% | 6.5% | 8.3% | 9.7% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 12.9% | 9.3% | 7.0% | 4.4% | 1.6% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.3% | 5.8% | 8.8% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 12.7% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 9.0% | 6.3% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.4% | 10.9% | 10.1% | 11.7% | 13.4% | 13.3% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 6.3% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 3.1% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 5.5% | 6.8% | 6.7% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 10.7% | 8.8% | 2.5% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 5.6% | 5.3% | 8.4% | 11.4% | 16.5% | 17.8% | 15.2% | 7.4% | 1.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.7% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 8.0% | 9.1% | 12.6% | 13.1% | 15.2% | 18.0% | 7.2% | 1.5% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 4.8% | 6.7% | 7.8% | 9.3% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 20.6% | 8.9% | 1.4% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.6% | 3.6% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 8.6% | 12.7% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 18.3% | 9.7% | 1.9% |
| Robert Cathell | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 43.2% | 25.3% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 20.3% | 68.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.