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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+2.01vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania2.17+0.05vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.57+0.30vs Predicted
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5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.29vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.86+0.06vs Predicted
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7Webb Institute-0.47+2.36vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80-2.14vs Predicted
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9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.12vs Predicted
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10University of Pittsburgh-0.62-0.40vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.05-2.92vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.46-2.73vs Predicted
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13Ocean County College-0.60-3.42vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.21-1.69vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.01University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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3.05University of Pennsylvania2.170.3%1st Place
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4.3Villanova University1.570.1%1st Place
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5.29Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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6.06Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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9.36Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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5.86Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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5.88SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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9.6University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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8.08Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.27Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.58Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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12.31University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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13.35Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 26.1% | 24.8% | 14.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 5.5% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Killian | 25.8% | 20.0% | 19.1% | 14.9% | 9.0% | 5.1% | 3.2% | 2.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Max Gillette | 12.8% | 13.3% | 15.5% | 14.6% | 12.9% | 12.0% | 8.0% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.1% | 10.9% | 10.5% | 11.7% | 12.1% | 15.3% | 11.6% | 8.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.7% | 10.6% | 11.7% | 11.6% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 9.1% | 5.5% | 4.2% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.1% | 1.7% | 2.2% | 3.9% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 12.5% | 13.8% | 17.2% | 16.6% | 7.7% | 1.2% |
| William Sunkler | 7.3% | 7.0% | 9.1% | 9.8% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 12.6% | 11.6% | 9.5% | 5.7% | 2.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.6% | 7.6% | 9.9% | 10.2% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 7.6% | 2.5% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.6% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.6% | 5.8% | 6.7% | 10.3% | 13.3% | 19.6% | 19.6% | 8.2% | 1.8% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 4.8% | 7.2% | 7.1% | 10.6% | 12.6% | 13.3% | 13.4% | 13.0% | 7.6% | 2.1% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.8% | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 10.5% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 16.0% | 7.5% | 0.8% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.5% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 8.2% | 12.2% | 14.8% | 13.2% | 18.9% | 10.0% | 1.9% |
| Robert Cathell | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.3% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 6.5% | 12.0% | 44.0% | 25.0% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.8% | 20.0% | 69.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.