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📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+2.00vs Predicted
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2Washington College0.80+4.02vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania2.17-0.89vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.02vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.86+0.18vs Predicted
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7Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-1.59vs Predicted
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8Villanova University1.52-3.73vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh-0.62+0.74vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.46-0.51vs Predicted
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11Princeton University0.05-2.75vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-0.47-2.45vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-1.05-2.26vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-0.60-4.31vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-1.47vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.0University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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6.02Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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3.11University of Pennsylvania2.170.2%1st Place
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6.02SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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6.18Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.41Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.27Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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9.74University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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9.49Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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8.25Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.55Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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10.74University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
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9.69Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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13.53Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 27.0% | 21.7% | 18.6% | 11.9% | 9.6% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 1.2% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.9% | 8.1% | 8.6% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 12.2% | 12.1% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Porter Killian | 24.5% | 21.7% | 17.0% | 15.0% | 9.0% | 6.7% | 3.8% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.9% | 6.8% | 9.5% | 9.5% | 12.0% | 12.6% | 12.4% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 3.0% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 5.2% | 6.9% | 8.8% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 10.3% | 9.2% | 7.6% | 5.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.0% | 7.8% | 11.4% | 11.9% | 12.6% | 12.5% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 8.0% | 4.4% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin McGarry | 13.4% | 15.7% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 14.1% | 9.7% | 8.7% | 6.7% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.6% | 1.4% | 3.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 7.1% | 8.8% | 12.4% | 13.9% | 15.1% | 17.4% | 3.7% |
| Veronica Lane | 2.1% | 2.0% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 9.2% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 15.0% | 15.2% | 12.9% | 2.2% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.3% | 2.8% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 12.3% | 8.2% | 4.8% | 0.7% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.4% | 2.1% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.7% | 6.2% | 8.6% | 10.5% | 12.3% | 15.4% | 15.7% | 13.8% | 1.6% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 5.4% | 5.9% | 10.1% | 13.3% | 18.4% | 28.0% | 5.6% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.9% | 1.9% | 1.8% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 4.3% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 10.0% | 12.5% | 13.6% | 17.7% | 15.0% | 2.6% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 2.4% | 3.6% | 6.5% | 83.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.