Race 3A

ri-state-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

31.2%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Pellegrini 14.9% 14.2% 12.3% 12.8% 10.4% 6.8% 7.1% 6.6% 4.0% 4.3% 3.2% 1.7% 1.1% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Tamblyn 6.5% 7.6% 8.4% 7.0% 7.0% 7.4% 9.0% 7.2% 7.9% 6.8% 5.7% 7.2% 6.3% 2.8% 2.0% 1.2%
Michael Marshall 10.8% 9.9% 10.3% 12.0% 9.4% 8.0% 9.7% 8.9% 6.5% 4.4% 4.0% 2.2% 2.2% 0.6% 0.9% 0.2%
Cecilia Strombeck 4.5% 6.1% 7.2% 7.3% 5.8% 7.3% 6.4% 6.9% 8.7% 7.7% 8.5% 7.4% 6.2% 5.4% 3.2% 1.4%
Quentin Chafee 6.3% 6.5% 6.2% 6.9% 7.6% 8.6% 7.3% 8.3% 6.8% 7.8% 8.0% 6.4% 6.3% 4.6% 1.8% 0.6%
Andrew McHenry 1.0% 1.4% 1.1% 1.0% 1.0% 2.1% 2.4% 2.2% 2.6% 4.5% 4.7% 6.5% 6.8% 10.1% 16.5% 36.1%
Jennifer Proctor 8.2% 7.6% 8.0% 7.2% 7.1% 9.4% 8.9% 6.6% 8.1% 7.4% 5.9% 6.3% 4.2% 3.3% 1.2% 0.6%
Andrew Meleny 5.0% 6.8% 5.7% 5.7% 6.6% 6.5% 7.1% 7.4% 8.3% 8.8% 8.4% 6.0% 6.3% 5.6% 3.9% 1.9%
Benjamin Brown 1.7% 2.8% 2.9% 1.5% 2.0% 3.0% 3.0% 3.2% 5.0% 5.8% 5.6% 7.8% 9.0% 13.6% 17.0% 16.1%
Neal Drake 1.8% 2.0% 2.5% 2.2% 2.1% 3.3% 2.6% 2.8% 3.6% 3.8% 5.2% 6.9% 11.1% 13.5% 18.2% 18.4%
Weston Barlow 7.1% 6.3% 5.7% 7.2% 6.9% 6.4% 7.8% 7.4% 7.5% 8.8% 8.7% 6.5% 5.6% 4.5% 2.9% 0.7%
Ryan White 4.4% 3.8% 4.4% 4.4% 7.2% 6.8% 6.6% 7.0% 6.8% 5.6% 8.6% 8.1% 8.2% 7.2% 6.8% 4.1%
Ben Greenfield 17.1% 15.4% 14.4% 10.4% 11.1% 9.2% 5.5% 6.3% 4.0% 2.7% 2.2% 0.9% 0.3% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
John Giuliano 4.2% 3.3% 4.7% 4.6% 6.2% 4.8% 5.2% 7.3% 7.5% 9.4% 7.0% 8.5% 8.6% 8.9% 5.7% 4.1%
Peter Edmunds 4.8% 4.6% 4.7% 7.3% 6.3% 6.5% 7.8% 7.1% 8.4% 7.6% 7.9% 8.0% 7.3% 6.3% 4.4% 1.0%
Tyler Black 1.7% 1.7% 1.5% 2.5% 3.3% 3.9% 3.6% 4.8% 4.3% 4.6% 6.4% 9.6% 10.5% 12.7% 15.3% 13.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.