← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.17+2.13vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.25+0.92vs Predicted
-
4Villanova University1.52+0.46vs Predicted
-
5Webb Institute-0.47+4.47vs Predicted
-
6Drexel University0.86+0.13vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.80-0.70vs Predicted
-
8Stevens Institute of Technology1.15-2.89vs Predicted
-
9SUNY Stony Brook0.90-3.05vs Predicted
-
10Monmouth University-0.46-0.53vs Predicted
-
11University of Delaware-1.05-0.16vs Predicted
-
12Princeton University0.05-3.80vs Predicted
-
13University of Pittsburgh-0.62-3.16vs Predicted
-
14Ocean County College-0.60-4.36vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-3.18-1.46vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.13University of Pennsylvania2.170.2%1st Place
-
2.92University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
-
4.46Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
-
9.47Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
6.13Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
-
6.3Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
-
5.11Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.95SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
9.47Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
10.84University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
-
8.2Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
-
9.84University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
-
9.64Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
13.54Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Killian | 24.7% | 21.7% | 17.9% | 11.9% | 10.1% | 7.4% | 3.8% | 1.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 26.5% | 23.3% | 18.5% | 13.3% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin McGarry | 12.3% | 12.7% | 13.8% | 15.4% | 13.4% | 11.1% | 7.9% | 7.3% | 3.8% | 1.6% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.8% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 14.9% | 16.5% | 11.8% | 2.3% |
| Jacob Pollak | 5.7% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 12.3% | 10.4% | 8.8% | 7.0% | 4.6% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 5.6% | 5.2% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.6% | 12.5% | 13.0% | 11.3% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 3.9% | 2.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 9.2% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 12.8% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.7% | 10.2% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.6% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.3% | 8.0% | 10.3% | 9.1% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 12.2% | 9.5% | 10.0% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.9% | 2.7% | 1.5% | 2.3% | 2.6% | 5.4% | 6.0% | 7.0% | 11.5% | 15.2% | 15.0% | 14.9% | 12.4% | 1.6% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 1.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 3.9% | 4.7% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 12.0% | 18.8% | 28.6% | 7.2% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.5% | 2.6% | 4.5% | 4.2% | 6.8% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 12.0% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 11.8% | 9.1% | 5.0% | 0.6% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 2.6% | 3.7% | 3.2% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 12.2% | 13.8% | 14.8% | 18.0% | 2.9% |
| Luke Dunton | 2.0% | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.0% | 4.3% | 6.7% | 7.1% | 9.4% | 12.0% | 15.4% | 16.4% | 15.1% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.9% | 2.0% | 3.2% | 7.6% | 83.2% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.