← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of South Florida2.25+2.01vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania2.17+1.09vs Predicted
-
4SUNY Stony Brook0.90+1.95vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.39vs Predicted
-
6Villanova University1.52-1.43vs Predicted
-
7Drexel University0.86-0.89vs Predicted
-
8Washington College0.80-2.05vs Predicted
-
9Webb Institute-0.47+0.38vs Predicted
-
10Ocean County College-0.60-0.19vs Predicted
-
11Princeton University0.05-2.77vs Predicted
-
12University of Delaware-1.05-1.17vs Predicted
-
13Monmouth University-0.46-3.53vs Predicted
-
14University of Pittsburgh-0.62-4.30vs Predicted
-
15Penn State University-3.18-1.48vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.01University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
-
3.09University of Pennsylvania2.170.3%1st Place
-
5.95SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
5.39Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
4.57Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
-
6.11Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
-
5.95Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
-
9.38Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
9.81Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
8.23Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
-
10.83University of Delaware-1.050.0%1st Place
-
9.47Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
9.7University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
-
13.52Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 27.8% | 22.0% | 17.1% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 5.8% | 3.4% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Killian | 25.1% | 20.9% | 17.9% | 15.8% | 8.3% | 5.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.5% | 8.1% | 8.9% | 9.2% | 10.5% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 12.9% | 8.0% | 7.1% | 3.2% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 6.5% | 11.1% | 9.5% | 12.6% | 12.7% | 14.2% | 10.4% | 9.3% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Erin McGarry | 10.5% | 12.5% | 14.9% | 14.2% | 14.6% | 10.5% | 10.0% | 6.3% | 3.2% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 6.2% | 6.2% | 8.1% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 10.7% | 7.4% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.3% | 7.2% | 8.5% | 9.9% | 10.8% | 13.7% | 10.1% | 11.6% | 8.8% | 6.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.7% | 2.0% | 3.7% | 2.9% | 3.8% | 4.5% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 10.7% | 11.6% | 14.2% | 13.2% | 14.8% | 2.6% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 4.3% | 5.2% | 5.8% | 8.6% | 14.4% | 17.2% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 2.8% |
| Zak Dasaro | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.4% | 9.2% | 11.9% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.3% | 8.6% | 4.6% | 0.6% |
| Cathleen Murphy | 0.8% | 1.5% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 2.1% | 1.8% | 4.3% | 4.6% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 12.2% | 18.8% | 28.8% | 6.9% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.5% | 1.4% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 13.0% | 10.8% | 14.0% | 15.5% | 13.4% | 1.9% |
| Bryce Merrill | 2.1% | 1.8% | 1.7% | 2.4% | 3.7% | 3.6% | 5.7% | 7.1% | 9.7% | 13.2% | 13.7% | 18.5% | 14.6% | 2.2% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.2% | 4.0% | 6.9% | 82.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.