← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1University of Pennsylvania2.17+2.11vs Predicted
-
2University of South Florida2.25+0.89vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University1.52+1.41vs Predicted
-
4Webb Institute-0.47+5.27vs Predicted
-
5Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+0.40vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook0.90-0.05vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.80-1.11vs Predicted
-
8Princeton University0.05-0.10vs Predicted
-
9Monmouth University-0.46+0.35vs Predicted
-
11University of Pittsburgh-0.62-1.31vs Predicted
-
12Ocean County College-0.60-2.43vs Predicted
-
13University of Delaware-2.21-0.60vs Predicted
-
14Penn State University-3.18-0.67vs Predicted
-
15Drexel University0.86-9.16vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
3.11University of Pennsylvania2.170.2%1st Place
-
2.89University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
-
4.41Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
-
9.27Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
-
5.4Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
-
5.95SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
-
5.89Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
-
7.9Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
-
9.35Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
-
9.69University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
-
9.57Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
-
12.4University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
-
13.33Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
-
5.84Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Porter Killian | 24.3% | 23.8% | 16.5% | 11.6% | 10.4% | 7.5% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jensen McTighe | 27.8% | 21.9% | 18.3% | 14.5% | 7.9% | 5.0% | 2.5% | 1.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin McGarry | 12.6% | 11.9% | 14.7% | 15.2% | 13.5% | 11.0% | 9.9% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 0.6% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 4.4% | 3.5% | 4.7% | 7.6% | 8.7% | 10.7% | 13.8% | 18.3% | 16.4% | 7.0% | 0.5% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 7.0% | 8.4% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 13.1% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 9.7% | 6.6% | 4.3% | 2.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 6.4% | 6.0% | 8.2% | 10.9% | 13.1% | 12.1% | 11.9% | 11.4% | 9.6% | 6.1% | 3.2% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.2% | 8.2% | 7.4% | 10.1% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.7% | 9.7% | 11.1% | 5.2% | 3.8% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Zak Dasaro | 3.0% | 4.0% | 4.4% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 7.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 13.0% | 14.7% | 10.5% | 8.0% | 2.8% | 0.2% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.2% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 8.4% | 12.5% | 14.8% | 19.0% | 15.3% | 7.2% | 1.3% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.4% | 1.6% | 2.4% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 5.5% | 9.2% | 11.6% | 14.0% | 15.9% | 19.0% | 10.6% | 1.6% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.6% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.7% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 7.6% | 9.7% | 15.0% | 15.7% | 20.4% | 8.5% | 1.5% |
| Robert Cathell | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.3% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 5.3% | 13.5% | 44.8% | 24.9% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.0% | 3.0% | 4.2% | 18.5% | 70.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 6.2% | 7.8% | 9.6% | 9.5% | 11.3% | 13.3% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 7.5% | 6.2% | 2.5% | 1.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.