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📊 Prediction Accuracy
71.4%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of South Florida2.25+1.98vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania2.17+1.07vs Predicted
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3Stevens Institute of Technology1.15+2.24vs Predicted
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4Villanova University1.52+0.43vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook0.90+0.97vs Predicted
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6Drexel University0.86+0.05vs Predicted
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8Washington College0.80-2.11vs Predicted
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9Webb Institute-0.47+0.15vs Predicted
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10Princeton University0.05-1.96vs Predicted
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11Ocean County College-0.60-1.37vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.46-2.70vs Predicted
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13University of Pittsburgh-0.62-3.39vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-2.21-1.71vs Predicted
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15Penn State University-3.18-1.65vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.98University of South Florida2.250.3%1st Place
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3.07University of Pennsylvania2.170.2%1st Place
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5.24Stevens Institute of Technology1.150.1%1st Place
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4.43Villanova University1.520.1%1st Place
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5.97SUNY Stony Brook0.900.1%1st Place
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6.05Drexel University0.860.1%1st Place
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5.89Washington College0.800.1%1st Place
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9.15Webb Institute-0.470.0%1st Place
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8.04Princeton University0.050.0%1st Place
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9.63Ocean County College-0.600.0%1st Place
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9.3Monmouth University-0.460.0%1st Place
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9.61University of Pittsburgh-0.620.0%1st Place
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12.29University of Delaware-2.210.0%1st Place
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13.35Penn State University-3.180.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jensen McTighe | 27.2% | 23.0% | 16.4% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.0% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Porter Killian | 25.0% | 21.8% | 17.4% | 15.0% | 9.3% | 5.3% | 3.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew O'Brien | 8.6% | 9.9% | 11.0% | 12.1% | 11.3% | 13.5% | 12.3% | 8.8% | 7.1% | 3.6% | 1.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Erin McGarry | 10.4% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 15.1% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.9% | 6.4% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Nicholas Manfredi | 5.2% | 7.2% | 9.8% | 10.1% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 13.0% | 10.2% | 8.7% | 6.6% | 3.1% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Pollak | 6.8% | 4.7% | 8.7% | 11.5% | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.1% | 11.8% | 8.8% | 6.8% | 4.0% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| William Sunkler | 7.0% | 7.6% | 8.2% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 12.2% | 10.7% | 13.7% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 3.7% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Declan Gaylo | 1.5% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 2.6% | 4.6% | 4.9% | 6.6% | 8.0% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 15.4% | 15.1% | 8.8% | 1.2% |
| Zak Dasaro | 3.2% | 2.6% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 6.4% | 7.1% | 9.9% | 12.8% | 14.6% | 13.7% | 11.6% | 7.2% | 2.5% | 0.4% |
| Luke Dunton | 1.5% | 1.6% | 2.3% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 5.7% | 6.8% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 16.8% | 19.5% | 9.0% | 1.9% |
| Veronica Lane | 1.8% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 5.7% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 11.4% | 14.1% | 17.2% | 17.6% | 6.9% | 0.9% |
| Bryce Merrill | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 15.6% | 19.0% | 9.4% | 2.0% |
| Robert Cathell | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 7.8% | 12.7% | 42.4% | 25.1% |
| Kevin Batchelor | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 4.0% | 20.2% | 68.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.