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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Washington College0.23+5.38vs Predicted
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2University of Pittsburgh0.43+3.79vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.46vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.21vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.06-1.60vs Predicted
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7Monmouth University-0.85+2.52vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.42-0.02vs Predicted
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9Princeton University0.75-3.96vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.23+0.42vs Predicted
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11Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-5.81vs Predicted
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12Webb Institute-1.84-0.27vs Predicted
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13University of Delaware-0.86-3.56vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-2.14-1.88vs Predicted
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15Villanova University0.26-8.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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6.38Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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5.79University of Pittsburgh0.430.1%1st Place
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2.54University of Pennsylvania1.950.4%1st Place
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8.21SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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4.4Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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9.52Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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7.98Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.04Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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10.42Penn State University-1.230.0%1st Place
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5.19Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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11.73Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
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9.44University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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12.12Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
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6.24Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Vernon | 5.7% | 6.4% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.5% | 11.0% | 10.2% | 9.5% | 7.5% | 4.3% | 4.4% | 1.4% | 0.3% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 7.4% | 10.3% | 8.5% | 10.1% | 11.0% | 11.2% | 12.2% | 9.1% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 3.8% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% |
| William Gallagher | 36.0% | 23.2% | 15.4% | 11.0% | 8.6% | 3.2% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 2.8% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.3% | 6.5% | 7.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 10.3% | 12.1% | 12.0% | 8.9% | 6.1% | 1.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 11.7% | 15.1% | 16.1% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 12.2% | 8.0% | 5.8% | 3.5% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.7% | 2.6% | 2.0% | 3.9% | 3.3% | 4.2% | 6.2% | 7.5% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 13.2% | 14.7% | 13.1% | 5.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.3% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 5.8% | 7.6% | 5.7% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 12.2% | 11.5% | 10.5% | 9.2% | 4.9% | 1.3% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 10.7% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 12.5% | 11.3% | 11.6% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 7.0% | 4.0% | 2.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Victoria LaRow | 1.9% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.5% | 14.2% | 19.1% | 17.2% | 11.3% |
| Townsend Morey | 9.4% | 10.3% | 11.1% | 13.1% | 12.2% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Rudy Caligure | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 2.1% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 7.0% | 9.4% | 13.2% | 24.1% | 30.3% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 1.5% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.3% | 6.0% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 13.0% | 15.0% | 11.9% | 12.1% | 6.1% |
| Bianca Robertson | 0.9% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.7% | 2.1% | 3.2% | 4.8% | 7.1% | 12.2% | 19.4% | 43.2% |
| Curtis Aaron | 6.2% | 7.4% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 10.2% | 9.6% | 11.6% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.5% | 3.9% | 3.0% | 0.8% | 0.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.