Race 2B

philly-fleet-race-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Gallagher 35.8% 23.3% 13.7% 12.9% 7.0% 4.1% 1.3% 1.1% 0.4% 0.3% 0.0% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 14.0% 16.7% 15.5% 12.9% 13.5% 8.7% 7.8% 5.0% 3.1% 1.9% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 6.1% 7.2% 9.6% 7.6% 9.5% 10.2% 9.9% 12.1% 9.9% 8.8% 5.9% 2.5% 0.5% 0.2%
Townsend Morey 8.2% 12.3% 12.5% 12.7% 11.2% 11.6% 10.9% 7.2% 5.8% 4.1% 2.0% 0.9% 0.6% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 5.1% 6.9% 8.4% 9.7% 9.0% 11.9% 11.8% 9.0% 8.4% 8.7% 5.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2%
Anne Sidamon-Eristoff 9.7% 9.2% 12.0% 14.7% 11.5% 11.1% 11.1% 7.8% 5.8% 4.8% 1.6% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0%
Abigail Proko 3.6% 4.3% 5.0% 5.6% 7.6% 6.6% 7.2% 10.7% 11.8% 10.7% 11.5% 9.2% 4.3% 1.9%
Aaron Fairchild 8.0% 8.6% 9.2% 10.0% 12.0% 10.5% 9.9% 10.6% 8.1% 5.2% 4.4% 2.9% 0.4% 0.2%
Victoria LaRow 1.5% 1.9% 2.6% 1.2% 2.4% 3.5% 4.9% 3.5% 7.5% 10.7% 13.3% 17.7% 17.6% 11.7%
Brianna Dittenhofer 1.9% 2.3% 2.7% 2.0% 3.3% 5.8% 6.9% 7.9% 9.6% 11.2% 13.1% 14.8% 13.1% 5.4%
Rudy Caligure 0.4% 1.2% 0.9% 1.8% 1.0% 1.7% 1.8% 3.8% 4.3% 5.6% 9.4% 12.3% 25.1% 30.7%
Micayla Beyer 2.8% 2.9% 4.5% 4.8% 6.7% 7.4% 8.9% 12.0% 10.7% 10.7% 11.5% 10.0% 4.4% 2.7%
Katherine Foley 2.5% 2.5% 2.7% 3.0% 4.5% 5.1% 5.6% 7.1% 10.9% 11.9% 13.8% 14.6% 11.2% 4.6%
Bianca Robertson 0.4% 0.7% 0.7% 1.1% 0.8% 1.8% 2.0% 2.2% 3.7% 5.4% 7.0% 11.0% 20.8% 42.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.