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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+4.05vs Predicted
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2University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.53vs Predicted
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3SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+5.17vs Predicted
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4Villanova University0.26+2.37vs Predicted
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6Washington College0.23+0.53vs Predicted
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7Princeton University0.75-1.87vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.42-0.04vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.86+0.33vs Predicted
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10Monmouth University-0.85-0.54vs Predicted
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11University of Pittsburgh0.43-5.04vs Predicted
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12Penn State University-1.23-1.58vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-1.84-1.28vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-2.14-1.86vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute1.06-10.76vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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5.05Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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2.53University of Pennsylvania1.950.3%1st Place
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8.17SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.37Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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6.53Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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5.13Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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7.96Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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9.33University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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9.46Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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5.96University of Pittsburgh0.430.1%1st Place
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10.42Penn State University-1.230.0%1st Place
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11.72Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
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12.14Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
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4.24Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Townsend Morey | 9.7% | 12.6% | 12.0% | 12.7% | 12.2% | 10.9% | 8.9% | 6.9% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 34.5% | 25.3% | 17.0% | 10.9% | 5.2% | 4.0% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 3.3% | 4.2% | 4.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 7.9% | 7.2% | 7.9% | 12.5% | 11.7% | 13.7% | 9.4% | 4.3% | 2.2% |
| Curtis Aaron | 5.7% | 6.0% | 8.9% | 9.7% | 10.4% | 9.5% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 9.7% | 7.7% | 5.1% | 2.7% | 1.3% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.1% | 10.4% | 9.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 10.1% | 10.7% | 8.5% | 6.0% | 3.2% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 9.6% | 10.7% | 12.4% | 12.9% | 11.3% | 11.4% | 10.2% | 7.7% | 6.6% | 4.1% | 2.6% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.8% | 6.0% | 5.1% | 8.7% | 8.0% | 10.8% | 9.7% | 11.8% | 11.4% | 10.0% | 4.4% | 1.2% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 2.2% | 2.9% | 3.4% | 3.1% | 3.9% | 6.1% | 4.3% | 8.0% | 10.1% | 10.5% | 14.1% | 12.9% | 12.5% | 6.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 2.4% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 3.6% | 7.3% | 7.4% | 8.2% | 15.0% | 14.3% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 5.4% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 6.6% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 9.8% | 12.0% | 10.7% | 11.7% | 11.1% | 9.3% | 5.6% | 3.7% | 1.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% |
| Victoria LaRow | 1.1% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 1.3% | 3.2% | 3.2% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 9.1% | 11.4% | 17.4% | 19.5% | 11.1% |
| Rudy Caligure | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.0% | 9.3% | 16.2% | 21.9% | 30.8% |
| Bianca Robertson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.9% | 2.7% | 3.0% | 2.1% | 5.1% | 6.2% | 10.8% | 22.1% | 42.6% |
| Nick Chisari | 14.9% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 13.6% | 13.1% | 10.5% | 8.1% | 6.1% | 2.2% | 1.7% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.