← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
57.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Webb Institute1.06+3.43vs Predicted
-
2University of Pennsylvania1.95+0.62vs Predicted
-
3Villanova University0.91+1.79vs Predicted
-
4Princeton University0.75+1.18vs Predicted
-
5University of Delaware-0.86+4.56vs Predicted
-
6SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+2.42vs Predicted
-
7Washington College0.23-0.63vs Predicted
-
8University of Pittsburgh0.43-1.95vs Predicted
-
9Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-3.67vs Predicted
-
10Drexel University-0.42-1.58vs Predicted
-
11Penn State University-1.23-0.50vs Predicted
-
13Monmouth University-0.85-3.47vs Predicted
-
14Ocean County College-2.14-1.83vs Predicted
-
15Webb Institute-1.84-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
4.43Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
-
2.62University of Pennsylvania1.950.3%1st Place
-
4.79Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
-
5.18Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
-
9.56University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
-
8.42SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
-
6.37Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
-
6.05University of Pittsburgh0.430.1%1st Place
-
5.33Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
-
8.42Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
-
10.5Penn State University-1.230.0%1st Place
-
9.53Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
-
12.17Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
-
11.63Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 12.9% | 15.4% | 14.8% | 13.8% | 9.9% | 11.1% | 8.9% | 4.6% | 4.2% | 2.7% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 33.6% | 23.5% | 17.4% | 10.7% | 8.3% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 11.5% | 12.6% | 11.8% | 14.1% | 11.6% | 10.8% | 10.1% | 7.1% | 5.9% | 3.0% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 8.9% | 11.4% | 12.4% | 10.5% | 12.4% | 13.0% | 9.6% | 8.6% | 6.8% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 1.4% | 1.9% | 2.7% | 3.5% | 3.9% | 5.7% | 4.9% | 7.4% | 9.7% | 10.7% | 14.5% | 16.7% | 11.0% | 6.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 2.8% | 3.1% | 3.3% | 5.0% | 4.6% | 7.4% | 9.4% | 8.5% | 12.8% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Vernon | 6.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 8.6% | 9.3% | 10.4% | 11.6% | 11.2% | 9.9% | 7.8% | 5.4% | 2.9% | 1.0% | 0.2% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 7.1% | 7.5% | 9.3% | 10.0% | 12.4% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 12.3% | 8.0% | 6.3% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 8.8% | 9.4% | 11.5% | 12.6% | 12.6% | 10.1% | 11.5% | 8.2% | 7.8% | 3.8% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.1% | 2.7% | 2.9% | 4.0% | 6.2% | 8.2% | 9.2% | 9.2% | 10.7% | 14.7% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Victoria LaRow | 1.3% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 4.5% | 5.6% | 7.2% | 9.0% | 13.8% | 17.5% | 19.5% | 11.3% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.2% | 1.7% | 2.9% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 9.6% | 8.8% | 13.4% | 15.1% | 13.3% | 11.0% | 6.1% |
| Bianca Robertson | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.4% | 2.2% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 11.1% | 19.2% | 44.6% |
| Rudy Caligure | 0.3% | 1.1% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 4.0% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 13.9% | 24.4% | 28.4% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.