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📊 Prediction Accuracy
28.6%
Within 2 Positions
2.6
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.06+3.41vs Predicted
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2Villanova University0.91+2.70vs Predicted
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3University of Pittsburgh0.43+3.02vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.27vs Predicted
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6Drexel University-0.42+2.46vs Predicted
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7SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+1.38vs Predicted
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8Princeton University0.75-2.97vs Predicted
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9Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-3.75vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-3.35vs Predicted
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11University of Delaware-0.86-1.39vs Predicted
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12Ocean County College-2.14+0.32vs Predicted
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13Penn State University-1.23-2.56vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-1.84-2.41vs Predicted
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15Monmouth University-0.85-5.60vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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4.7Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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6.02University of Pittsburgh0.430.1%1st Place
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2.73University of Pennsylvania1.950.3%1st Place
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8.46Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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8.38SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.03Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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5.25Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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6.65Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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9.61University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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12.32Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
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10.44Penn State University-1.230.0%1st Place
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11.59Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
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9.4Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 12.9% | 15.2% | 14.4% | 14.2% | 11.5% | 10.9% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 4.1% | 2.2% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Owen Ward | 10.9% | 12.2% | 15.3% | 12.1% | 13.5% | 11.5% | 8.9% | 6.3% | 4.7% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 7.9% | 6.9% | 9.1% | 9.7% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.3% | 11.6% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 3.3% | 1.8% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
| William Gallagher | 30.5% | 24.5% | 15.3% | 14.4% | 7.9% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.0% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 2.0% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 9.5% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 12.7% | 10.6% | 7.0% | 1.7% |
| Micayla Beyer | 2.7% | 3.1% | 4.0% | 4.5% | 5.8% | 5.3% | 9.8% | 10.9% | 11.8% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 9.8% | 5.8% | 1.7% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 10.5% | 11.6% | 11.6% | 11.4% | 12.7% | 11.1% | 11.9% | 8.0% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Townsend Morey | 10.2% | 11.1% | 10.6% | 11.2% | 12.1% | 11.4% | 9.5% | 7.9% | 7.5% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 5.9% | 5.5% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 9.2% | 11.1% | 11.6% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 9.0% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.1% | 0.5% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 2.2% | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.1% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 6.9% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 12.5% | 13.5% | 15.1% | 13.2% | 5.0% |
| Bianca Robertson | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 5.3% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 21.7% | 45.2% |
| Victoria LaRow | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 2.2% | 3.8% | 3.4% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.9% | 15.3% | 16.1% | 17.0% | 11.7% |
| Rudy Caligure | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.1% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 3.3% | 4.3% | 7.1% | 8.3% | 14.3% | 23.7% | 29.0% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.6% | 2.6% | 2.6% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 8.9% | 12.4% | 15.6% | 15.5% | 9.4% | 5.1% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.