Race 4A

ri-state-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

25.0%
Within 2 Positions
4.1
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16
Peter Pellegrini 14.7% 14.3% 12.8% 12.7% 10.0% 6.9% 7.0% 6.5% 4.7% 4.1% 3.0% 1.7% 0.8% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1%
Quentin Chafee 5.7% 8.1% 7.5% 7.1% 6.3% 7.4% 8.1% 8.0% 8.0% 7.4% 5.8% 6.9% 6.3% 3.8% 3.0% 0.6%
Cecilia Strombeck 5.7% 5.4% 6.4% 5.9% 6.7% 8.1% 8.3% 6.3% 7.9% 9.2% 9.2% 6.4% 6.3% 4.3% 3.3% 0.6%
Andrew McHenry 0.6% 0.8% 0.9% 2.8% 1.7% 2.3% 2.4% 2.1% 3.1% 2.7% 4.6% 5.9% 6.3% 9.5% 15.8% 38.5%
Ryan White 3.8% 3.9% 4.7% 5.9% 4.8% 5.4% 7.3% 6.5% 8.1% 7.1% 8.0% 9.7% 7.9% 8.3% 6.2% 2.4%
Jennifer Proctor 7.0% 7.4% 9.4% 8.5% 8.7% 8.0% 7.7% 8.1% 7.9% 5.6% 7.2% 4.6% 4.0% 3.8% 1.8% 0.3%
Andrew Tamblyn 6.6% 8.0% 6.8% 5.9% 6.8% 7.5% 7.5% 6.8% 7.6% 9.2% 7.4% 7.4% 5.4% 3.7% 2.7% 0.7%
Michael Marshall 11.9% 11.7% 10.3% 9.9% 9.4% 8.5% 8.9% 8.2% 6.9% 4.1% 4.1% 2.9% 1.9% 0.8% 0.5% 0.0%
Ben Greenfield 17.5% 15.2% 13.8% 11.4% 10.2% 7.8% 6.8% 6.1% 4.4% 2.5% 1.4% 1.4% 0.7% 0.4% 0.3% 0.1%
John Giuliano 3.9% 3.8% 4.3% 4.2% 3.8% 6.3% 4.5% 6.1% 7.6% 8.1% 9.2% 10.1% 8.7% 9.2% 6.5% 3.7%
Benjamin Brown 2.1% 3.0% 2.0% 1.5% 2.7% 3.9% 2.9% 4.6% 3.9% 4.4% 5.1% 7.6% 9.9% 11.8% 16.4% 18.2%
Weston Barlow 6.4% 5.4% 7.6% 6.7% 8.1% 7.9% 7.1% 6.4% 7.6% 7.7% 6.9% 6.7% 6.8% 3.7% 3.7% 1.3%
Neal Drake 1.8% 1.7% 1.8% 2.0% 3.2% 2.8% 4.2% 3.1% 3.5% 5.7% 5.5% 6.5% 10.2% 13.5% 17.7% 16.8%
Andrew Meleny 5.6% 4.5% 5.0% 6.8% 7.0% 7.3% 7.5% 8.3% 6.5% 8.4% 7.9% 7.6% 6.2% 6.2% 3.7% 1.5%
Peter Edmunds 5.2% 4.8% 4.5% 6.0% 7.3% 6.6% 6.7% 8.0% 8.1% 7.7% 7.9% 6.7% 8.6% 6.0% 3.8% 2.1%
Tyler Black 1.5% 2.0% 2.2% 2.7% 3.3% 3.3% 3.1% 4.9% 4.2% 6.1% 6.8% 7.9% 10.0% 14.5% 14.4% 13.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.