Race 1A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.6
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
John Mason 18.9% 16.6% 14.2% 13.5% 11.6% 10.1% 7.6% 4.3% 2.7% 0.4%
Ted Richardsson 9.7% 10.9% 12.3% 10.7% 11.5% 11.2% 11.8% 11.2% 7.4% 3.4%
Genevieve Lau 21.6% 19.1% 16.3% 14.8% 10.9% 7.4% 5.5% 2.9% 1.4% 0.2%
Gabrielle Ahitow 10.0% 8.8% 11.2% 10.3% 10.6% 11.3% 11.8% 12.0% 10.3% 3.7%
Emilia Perriera 8.1% 10.5% 8.9% 10.5% 10.9% 10.8% 12.2% 11.1% 11.8% 5.1%
Sage Andrews 9.0% 9.0% 11.5% 12.2% 11.8% 12.7% 10.8% 11.2% 8.5% 3.3%
Michael Cunniff 6.2% 6.5% 6.8% 7.5% 10.6% 10.3% 11.6% 13.8% 18.1% 8.7%
Caleb Burt 7.4% 8.9% 8.7% 8.6% 9.2% 10.9% 12.6% 13.1% 14.3% 6.3%
Aoife Mahoney 8.0% 8.1% 8.2% 9.7% 10.1% 11.9% 11.5% 14.4% 13.5% 4.8%
Owen Peterson 1.1% 1.6% 1.9% 2.1% 2.9% 3.4% 4.6% 6.2% 12.0% 64.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.