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📊 Prediction Accuracy
42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Webb Institute1.06+3.42vs Predicted
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2Princeton University0.75+3.07vs Predicted
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3Villanova University0.91+1.77vs Predicted
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4University of Pennsylvania1.95-1.30vs Predicted
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5SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.47vs Predicted
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6Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-0.62vs Predicted
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7University of Delaware-0.86+2.28vs Predicted
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8Drexel University-0.42+0.34vs Predicted
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9University of Pittsburgh0.43-2.92vs Predicted
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10Washington College0.23-3.34vs Predicted
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11Penn State University-1.23-0.48vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.85-3.48vs Predicted
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14Ocean County College-2.14-1.84vs Predicted
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15Webb Institute-1.84-3.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.42Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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5.07Princeton University0.750.1%1st Place
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4.77Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.7University of Pennsylvania1.950.3%1st Place
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8.47SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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5.38Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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9.28University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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8.34Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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6.08University of Pittsburgh0.430.1%1st Place
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6.66Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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10.52Penn State University-1.230.0%1st Place
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9.52Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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12.16Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
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11.63Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Chisari | 12.4% | 16.4% | 13.8% | 12.8% | 12.3% | 10.0% | 8.7% | 5.7% | 4.8% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Anne Sidamon-Eristoff | 9.8% | 11.2% | 12.9% | 12.1% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 10.6% | 8.2% | 5.5% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
| Owen Ward | 12.2% | 12.1% | 13.8% | 11.5% | 12.8% | 9.2% | 10.6% | 7.7% | 5.9% | 2.2% | 1.3% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% |
| William Gallagher | 31.4% | 24.2% | 16.4% | 12.8% | 7.3% | 4.1% | 2.5% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 2.3% | 2.5% | 5.2% | 4.7% | 4.8% | 8.2% | 7.3% | 9.9% | 10.6% | 13.9% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.1% | 2.6% |
| Townsend Morey | 9.4% | 8.5% | 11.6% | 13.2% | 10.3% | 12.0% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 7.0% | 4.5% | 2.7% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.9% | 3.5% | 5.2% | 5.5% | 6.0% | 7.4% | 9.1% | 12.3% | 14.8% | 13.6% | 10.7% | 5.0% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.0% | 4.9% | 6.8% | 5.8% | 7.7% | 9.3% | 11.5% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 6.3% | 2.5% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 7.8% | 7.0% | 8.4% | 8.0% | 10.4% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 10.6% | 9.8% | 6.5% | 4.3% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| Andrew Vernon | 5.3% | 6.3% | 5.9% | 9.2% | 10.2% | 9.9% | 11.5% | 11.3% | 10.9% | 8.4% | 5.7% | 3.4% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Victoria LaRow | 0.8% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 6.2% | 7.2% | 9.3% | 13.2% | 19.0% | 18.2% | 11.5% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.7% | 3.4% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.4% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 15.5% | 15.0% | 12.5% | 11.5% | 5.9% |
| Bianca Robertson | 0.9% | 0.8% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.8% | 4.3% | 7.2% | 11.8% | 20.0% | 43.3% |
| Rudy Caligure | 0.5% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.4% | 1.3% | 1.9% | 2.3% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.5% | 10.4% | 13.8% | 24.0% | 28.5% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.