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📊 Prediction Accuracy
64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of Pennsylvania1.95+1.40vs Predicted
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3Washington College0.23+2.78vs Predicted
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4Stevens Institute of Technology0.72+0.67vs Predicted
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5University of Pittsburgh0.43+0.54vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.06-1.96vs Predicted
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7Villanova University0.26-0.98vs Predicted
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8SUNY Stony Brook-0.40-0.51vs Predicted
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9Penn State University-1.23+0.85vs Predicted
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10Drexel University-0.42-2.14vs Predicted
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11Princeton University-1.24-0.87vs Predicted
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12Monmouth University-0.85-2.96vs Predicted
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13Webb Institute-1.84-1.62vs Predicted
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14University of Delaware-0.86-5.12vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-2.14-3.08vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.4University of Pennsylvania1.950.4%1st Place
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5.78Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.67Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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5.54University of Pittsburgh0.430.1%1st Place
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4.04Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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6.02Villanova University0.260.1%1st Place
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7.49SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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9.85Penn State University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.86Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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10.13Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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9.04Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.38Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
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8.88University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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11.92Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| William Gallagher | 39.4% | 23.9% | 15.2% | 10.2% | 6.3% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 6.3% | 8.8% | 11.9% | 9.1% | 11.7% | 10.9% | 12.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.0% | 3.5% | 1.7% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| Townsend Morey | 10.6% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 14.2% | 12.0% | 11.9% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 6.6% | 9.8% | 12.1% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 14.1% | 9.3% | 8.5% | 7.5% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Nick Chisari | 12.9% | 18.6% | 15.6% | 15.2% | 12.0% | 10.3% | 6.2% | 4.5% | 2.8% | 1.0% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Curtis Aaron | 7.1% | 6.6% | 9.2% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 7.3% | 3.5% | 2.8% | 0.8% | 0.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 4.4% | 3.8% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 6.5% | 8.2% | 10.2% | 11.0% | 10.0% | 10.6% | 9.3% | 7.4% | 3.3% | 1.1% |
| Victoria LaRow | 1.7% | 2.2% | 2.3% | 3.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 5.0% | 6.5% | 8.0% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.4% | 15.3% | 10.8% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.7% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.3% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.2% | 12.8% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 9.8% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.6% |
| Charlie Flynn | 1.5% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.6% | 8.1% | 10.3% | 10.9% | 18.0% | 14.7% | 11.2% |
| Katherine Foley | 2.0% | 2.8% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.0% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.5% | 14.9% | 10.8% | 9.5% | 5.2% |
| Rudy Caligure | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.4% | 2.7% | 4.8% | 7.8% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 20.7% | 25.6% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 2.7% | 2.5% | 2.9% | 5.0% | 5.5% | 4.8% | 7.6% | 9.2% | 10.8% | 11.4% | 13.0% | 10.5% | 9.6% | 4.5% |
| Bianca Robertson | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.4% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 1.7% | 3.5% | 4.4% | 7.0% | 7.0% | 10.2% | 20.0% | 39.8% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.