Race 8B

philly-fleet-race-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

42.9%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Gallagher 38.6% 23.8% 16.3% 10.1% 6.1% 2.7% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 6.6% 9.5% 10.2% 10.4% 10.8% 11.7% 11.7% 10.4% 7.2% 5.6% 3.2% 1.8% 0.8% 0.1%
Curtis Aaron 7.1% 8.4% 9.7% 9.5% 11.2% 12.2% 10.7% 10.1% 7.9% 7.3% 3.3% 1.6% 0.8% 0.2%
Townsend Morey 9.3% 13.0% 14.7% 13.1% 12.9% 11.9% 8.9% 7.7% 3.1% 3.5% 1.2% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0%
Aaron Fairchild 6.2% 8.9% 11.1% 12.8% 12.3% 12.5% 9.3% 9.0% 7.5% 5.9% 2.3% 1.3% 0.7% 0.2%
Victoria LaRow 1.0% 2.3% 2.2% 2.3% 3.7% 4.1% 3.8% 5.9% 9.9% 9.7% 15.4% 14.2% 14.0% 11.5%
Nick Chisari 16.8% 17.4% 15.1% 15.9% 11.5% 9.5% 7.1% 4.1% 1.3% 1.0% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Katherine Foley 2.1% 3.5% 3.6% 4.7% 5.3% 6.5% 5.9% 8.4% 10.9% 11.8% 11.1% 12.0% 8.8% 5.4%
Micayla Beyer 3.6% 3.9% 4.7% 4.9% 6.8% 8.2% 11.1% 12.5% 11.6% 10.4% 9.6% 7.5% 3.9% 1.3%
Charlie Flynn 1.5% 2.1% 1.6% 2.2% 3.1% 3.6% 6.3% 6.6% 9.2% 9.4% 11.4% 16.4% 15.5% 11.1%
Brianna Dittenhofer 1.9% 2.1% 3.7% 4.1% 4.5% 5.7% 7.5% 9.9% 8.9% 11.5% 14.0% 11.8% 9.6% 4.8%
Rudy Caligure 0.6% 0.9% 1.2% 1.9% 1.8% 2.4% 2.9% 2.9% 5.6% 6.8% 10.6% 15.2% 22.2% 25.0%
Abigail Proko 4.2% 3.7% 5.0% 6.9% 7.7% 7.0% 12.1% 8.9% 12.2% 10.1% 10.1% 7.1% 3.7% 1.3%
Bianca Robertson 0.5% 0.5% 0.9% 1.2% 2.3% 2.0% 1.4% 2.9% 4.5% 6.8% 7.6% 10.4% 19.9% 39.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.