← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.8
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Gallagher 38.5% 23.6% 16.3% 9.8% 6.7% 2.8% 1.2% 0.4% 0.4% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 6.8% 9.7% 8.7% 10.6% 12.5% 11.3% 12.5% 9.1% 7.4% 5.8% 2.8% 1.9% 0.6% 0.3%
Townsend Morey 10.9% 12.9% 14.4% 12.8% 12.8% 9.9% 9.8% 7.7% 5.5% 1.5% 1.2% 0.3% 0.3% 0.0%
Micayla Beyer 2.3% 3.8% 6.6% 5.3% 7.8% 8.3% 8.8% 13.3% 10.9% 10.4% 8.7% 8.3% 4.1% 1.4%
Abigail Proko 2.5% 4.5% 5.7% 5.6% 6.9% 8.3% 9.4% 10.6% 11.9% 10.8% 9.9% 8.0% 4.4% 1.5%
Brianna Dittenhofer 1.8% 3.1% 2.8% 4.1% 4.1% 5.0% 8.3% 10.5% 8.7% 11.8% 13.4% 10.7% 11.4% 4.3%
Aaron Fairchild 9.4% 10.1% 10.7% 11.9% 12.1% 13.0% 10.2% 8.2% 6.3% 4.4% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4% 0.1%
Andrew Vernon 7.0% 8.2% 9.3% 11.1% 10.5% 11.5% 10.7% 9.1% 8.2% 6.5% 4.4% 2.7% 0.7% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 14.0% 16.9% 15.2% 15.9% 11.9% 11.3% 6.6% 3.6% 2.9% 0.9% 0.5% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0%
Bianca Robertson 0.8% 0.7% 0.6% 1.8% 1.2% 1.1% 1.8% 2.1% 2.9% 7.5% 6.9% 12.8% 18.3% 41.5%
Rudy Caligure 0.8% 0.7% 1.4% 1.6% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 4.1% 5.7% 6.4% 10.3% 12.3% 22.8% 27.8%
Charlie Flynn 1.1% 1.7% 2.6% 2.0% 4.0% 4.0% 5.4% 6.3% 9.2% 11.5% 13.1% 14.6% 14.0% 10.5%
Victoria LaRow 2.1% 1.5% 2.2% 3.4% 3.5% 3.8% 5.5% 6.7% 9.2% 10.8% 11.5% 16.3% 15.0% 8.5%
Katherine Foley 2.0% 2.6% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 7.6% 7.2% 8.3% 10.8% 11.5% 14.9% 10.9% 8.0% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.