Race 10B

philly-fleet-race-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Gallagher 37.5% 23.3% 14.5% 12.4% 6.3% 3.4% 1.2% 0.8% 0.3% 0.1% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Nick Chisari 15.2% 18.1% 14.0% 16.3% 12.4% 8.0% 8.4% 3.6% 2.0% 1.2% 0.5% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Aaron Fairchild 7.6% 9.5% 11.2% 8.1% 12.9% 13.3% 10.2% 9.6% 8.4% 5.2% 2.1% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Owen Ward 11.2% 13.3% 17.5% 12.5% 14.5% 9.5% 8.7% 5.6% 3.9% 1.9% 1.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Townsend Morey 8.7% 10.9% 13.0% 14.7% 12.2% 11.6% 9.0% 8.9% 5.9% 2.4% 1.6% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0%
Micayla Beyer 2.6% 4.5% 4.1% 5.2% 5.7% 9.7% 9.9% 10.9% 11.1% 11.7% 10.1% 7.6% 5.5% 1.4%
Charlie Flynn 1.2% 1.8% 2.2% 3.5% 4.1% 4.6% 5.9% 7.0% 7.7% 10.7% 13.4% 14.6% 14.6% 8.7%
Katherine Foley 2.0% 3.7% 3.0% 3.6% 4.9% 5.6% 8.0% 7.8% 11.2% 11.6% 11.0% 12.6% 10.2% 4.8%
Andrew Vernon 5.7% 7.3% 8.0% 10.3% 10.1% 12.2% 11.9% 10.9% 8.7% 7.3% 4.0% 2.3% 0.8% 0.5%
Brianna Dittenhofer 2.0% 2.6% 2.3% 3.0% 3.8% 6.9% 7.2% 8.9% 9.8% 13.5% 11.8% 14.2% 9.1% 4.9%
Abigail Proko 3.5% 2.7% 4.9% 5.2% 7.6% 8.0% 9.6% 10.3% 12.0% 12.4% 9.4% 8.1% 4.8% 1.5%
Victoria LaRow 1.2% 1.2% 2.9% 2.3% 2.8% 3.8% 5.0% 7.5% 9.1% 10.6% 15.8% 13.6% 12.8% 11.4%
Bianca Robertson 1.1% 0.3% 0.9% 0.9% 1.2% 1.5% 2.3% 3.9% 3.2% 4.6% 9.1% 11.6% 18.5% 40.9%
Rudy Caligure 0.5% 0.8% 1.5% 2.0% 1.5% 1.9% 2.7% 4.3% 6.7% 6.8% 9.7% 13.2% 22.7% 25.7%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.