Race 11B

philly-fleet-race-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Gallagher 37.4% 23.9% 15.1% 10.2% 7.7% 2.8% 1.8% 0.7% 0.1% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Owen Ward 13.1% 15.1% 14.5% 13.6% 13.3% 10.6% 7.4% 7.1% 2.1% 1.7% 1.1% 0.2% 0.1% 0.1%
Townsend Morey 9.8% 13.0% 12.6% 13.2% 13.2% 10.3% 11.1% 6.9% 5.2% 2.7% 1.1% 0.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Andrew Vernon 4.8% 7.4% 10.0% 8.8% 10.7% 13.9% 11.5% 10.1% 9.4% 5.5% 4.8% 2.2% 0.8% 0.1%
Aaron Fairchild 6.7% 8.3% 10.8% 11.1% 11.3% 11.7% 12.2% 10.4% 7.4% 4.7% 3.1% 1.4% 0.8% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 13.1% 15.3% 14.8% 16.9% 10.3% 11.2% 6.5% 6.1% 3.8% 1.4% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Brianna Dittenhofer 2.1% 2.3% 3.9% 4.8% 5.4% 5.6% 7.5% 8.2% 11.2% 11.3% 13.0% 12.5% 8.7% 3.5%
Katherine Foley 2.3% 3.2% 3.2% 3.9% 5.0% 4.9% 7.7% 8.2% 10.7% 11.6% 12.6% 12.1% 9.9% 4.7%
Charlie Flynn 1.7% 1.5% 2.7% 1.6% 3.0% 3.5% 4.6% 5.9% 8.1% 12.3% 14.9% 14.6% 15.3% 10.3%
Victoria LaRow 1.4% 2.1% 1.5% 1.9% 2.9% 3.8% 5.0% 7.1% 8.3% 12.3% 12.3% 15.3% 15.5% 10.6%
Abigail Proko 3.0% 3.8% 3.7% 6.1% 7.1% 8.5% 9.1% 11.1% 11.5% 11.6% 10.1% 7.5% 4.9% 2.0%
Micayla Beyer 3.2% 2.1% 5.5% 5.3% 7.1% 9.3% 10.7% 12.1% 10.9% 11.3% 9.4% 6.9% 4.5% 1.7%
Bianca Robertson 0.9% 1.0% 0.6% 0.4% 1.6% 1.7% 2.7% 2.1% 4.3% 6.2% 7.6% 12.4% 17.4% 41.1%
Rudy Caligure 0.5% 1.0% 1.1% 2.2% 1.4% 2.2% 2.2% 4.0% 7.0% 7.1% 9.4% 14.2% 21.9% 25.8%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.