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📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.7%
Within 2 Positions
2.5
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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2Villanova University0.91+2.41vs Predicted
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3University of Pennsylvania1.95-0.57vs Predicted
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4SUNY Stony Brook-0.40+3.84vs Predicted
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5Washington College0.23+1.15vs Predicted
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6Webb Institute1.06-1.75vs Predicted
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7Princeton University-1.24+3.15vs Predicted
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8Stevens Institute of Technology0.72-3.29vs Predicted
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9University of Delaware-0.86-0.04vs Predicted
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10Penn State University-1.23+0.08vs Predicted
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11Drexel University-0.42-3.04vs Predicted
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12University of Pittsburgh0.43-6.30vs Predicted
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13Monmouth University-0.85-3.92vs Predicted
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14Webb Institute-1.84-2.65vs Predicted
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15Ocean County College-2.14-3.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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4.41Villanova University0.910.1%1st Place
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2.43University of Pennsylvania1.950.4%1st Place
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7.84SUNY Stony Brook-0.400.0%1st Place
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6.15Washington College0.230.1%1st Place
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4.25Webb Institute1.060.1%1st Place
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10.15Princeton University-1.240.0%1st Place
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4.71Stevens Institute of Technology0.720.1%1st Place
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8.96University of Delaware-0.860.0%1st Place
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10.08Penn State University-1.230.0%1st Place
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7.96Drexel University-0.420.0%1st Place
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5.7University of Pittsburgh0.430.1%1st Place
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9.08Monmouth University-0.850.0%1st Place
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11.35Webb Institute-1.840.0%1st Place
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11.93Ocean County College-2.140.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Owen Ward | 12.7% | 13.6% | 16.1% | 13.8% | 12.3% | 10.8% | 7.1% | 5.7% | 4.6% | 1.9% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| William Gallagher | 36.8% | 25.0% | 17.0% | 9.9% | 5.8% | 3.2% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Micayla Beyer | 3.2% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 6.3% | 7.5% | 8.2% | 8.9% | 9.6% | 12.4% | 11.2% | 10.0% | 8.4% | 4.5% | 1.0% |
| Andrew Vernon | 5.4% | 7.1% | 7.3% | 11.2% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 12.7% | 11.2% | 8.1% | 6.3% | 4.3% | 2.0% | 1.0% | 0.1% |
| Nick Chisari | 12.1% | 15.0% | 16.7% | 14.5% | 13.4% | 9.4% | 8.4% | 5.1% | 3.1% | 1.3% | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Charlie Flynn | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.0% | 2.3% | 3.4% | 3.6% | 5.5% | 5.9% | 8.9% | 11.5% | 13.6% | 14.3% | 14.5% | 11.9% |
| Townsend Morey | 10.8% | 13.1% | 13.5% | 12.1% | 13.2% | 11.6% | 10.6% | 6.9% | 4.3% | 2.3% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Brianna Dittenhofer | 2.5% | 3.0% | 3.1% | 4.5% | 3.9% | 6.0% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.2% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 5.2% |
| Victoria LaRow | 1.6% | 2.3% | 1.6% | 2.1% | 2.7% | 4.3% | 4.2% | 7.1% | 7.4% | 12.4% | 12.0% | 18.7% | 14.4% | 9.2% |
| Abigail Proko | 3.2% | 3.2% | 3.8% | 5.6% | 7.1% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 11.2% | 10.7% | 11.8% | 11.7% | 6.2% | 4.9% | 1.6% |
| Aaron Fairchild | 7.2% | 8.6% | 9.6% | 11.1% | 11.3% | 13.1% | 11.1% | 10.8% | 6.9% | 5.3% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% |
| Katherine Foley | 1.9% | 2.1% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.3% | 5.3% | 7.6% | 10.4% | 11.9% | 12.4% | 11.3% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 4.7% |
| Rudy Caligure | 1.3% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 2.1% | 2.2% | 3.2% | 3.3% | 5.8% | 6.1% | 10.1% | 16.4% | 19.8% | 26.6% |
| Bianca Robertson | 0.3% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 1.3% | 2.5% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 5.8% | 8.7% | 10.5% | 19.3% | 39.6% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.