Race 13B

philly-fleet-race-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

64.3%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Townsend Morey 10.3% 14.6% 15.5% 13.3% 11.5% 10.9% 8.0% 6.2% 4.4% 2.5% 1.6% 0.9% 0.3% 0.0%
William Gallagher 39.7% 23.0% 16.6% 10.3% 5.9% 2.1% 1.5% 0.6% 0.3% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Curtis Aaron 6.7% 8.3% 10.3% 9.5% 11.0% 12.3% 10.9% 11.0% 7.8% 6.0% 4.0% 1.5% 0.6% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 13.7% 17.4% 17.9% 15.2% 10.8% 8.9% 7.2% 4.9% 2.0% 1.1% 0.6% 0.2% 0.1% 0.0%
Aaron Fairchild 6.8% 8.5% 10.8% 13.0% 13.7% 11.3% 9.6% 9.4% 7.2% 4.5% 3.2% 1.5% 0.3% 0.2%
Abigail Proko 2.9% 4.0% 3.9% 6.5% 7.4% 7.8% 11.1% 10.8% 10.5% 11.5% 8.3% 8.9% 5.3% 1.1%
Micayla Beyer 3.8% 5.6% 5.1% 6.9% 7.9% 8.6% 10.0% 10.3% 10.8% 10.5% 8.9% 7.4% 2.9% 1.3%
Andrew Vernon 7.3% 7.3% 9.9% 11.4% 11.1% 10.1% 10.5% 11.0% 7.3% 5.6% 4.9% 2.6% 0.9% 0.1%
Katherine Foley 2.3% 3.2% 2.4% 3.0% 5.4% 6.8% 5.7% 8.7% 11.4% 13.3% 13.1% 11.0% 9.2% 4.5%
Brianna Dittenhofer 2.1% 2.7% 2.5% 2.2% 6.0% 7.7% 6.7% 8.9% 10.2% 11.8% 11.8% 12.0% 10.3% 5.1%
Charlie Flynn 1.7% 1.8% 2.2% 2.2% 2.0% 5.1% 7.2% 5.6% 8.1% 11.0% 12.9% 15.0% 14.1% 11.1%
Rudy Caligure 0.7% 0.5% 1.4% 2.0% 2.2% 1.7% 3.1% 3.6% 5.3% 6.6% 10.3% 14.3% 21.7% 26.6%
Victoria LaRow 1.6% 2.5% 0.8% 3.2% 3.8% 4.0% 5.8% 6.2% 10.3% 9.9% 13.5% 14.1% 14.5% 9.8%
Bianca Robertson 0.4% 0.6% 0.7% 1.3% 1.3% 2.7% 2.7% 2.8% 4.4% 5.7% 6.9% 10.6% 19.8% 40.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.