Race 14B

philly-fleet-race-central-series

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.2
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
William Gallagher 39.6% 25.6% 12.4% 10.6% 6.6% 2.5% 1.4% 0.9% 0.0% 0.3% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Aaron Fairchild 7.6% 10.1% 13.5% 11.3% 11.8% 12.0% 11.1% 7.7% 6.7% 4.6% 1.7% 1.3% 0.4% 0.2%
Curtis Aaron 7.0% 9.1% 9.8% 9.0% 10.2% 13.0% 11.4% 10.5% 6.5% 6.7% 4.4% 1.4% 0.9% 0.1%
Nick Chisari 14.2% 17.9% 16.0% 15.5% 11.7% 9.0% 7.0% 4.7% 2.1% 0.8% 0.6% 0.5% 0.0% 0.0%
Micayla Beyer 2.5% 3.1% 6.5% 6.6% 7.3% 7.5% 9.8% 11.0% 11.2% 10.6% 9.4% 8.4% 4.2% 1.9%
Townsend Morey 10.8% 11.0% 13.8% 15.2% 12.1% 10.5% 9.8% 6.7% 5.5% 2.9% 1.2% 0.4% 0.0% 0.1%
Katherine Foley 2.5% 2.8% 4.4% 4.2% 6.5% 5.9% 8.3% 6.9% 11.2% 10.8% 12.3% 12.2% 7.6% 4.4%
Abigail Proko 3.2% 4.8% 5.9% 6.1% 6.3% 8.6% 9.7% 11.2% 11.1% 9.1% 9.3% 8.1% 5.2% 1.4%
Brianna Dittenhofer 2.4% 2.9% 1.9% 4.2% 4.5% 6.2% 6.6% 7.3% 11.5% 14.0% 12.9% 11.9% 9.7% 4.0%
Andrew Vernon 6.1% 7.6% 8.2% 11.1% 12.1% 11.8% 10.3% 11.9% 8.0% 5.4% 3.7% 2.3% 1.3% 0.2%
Rudy Caligure 0.4% 1.2% 1.5% 1.2% 1.6% 2.1% 2.9% 4.4% 5.1% 7.3% 8.0% 14.0% 21.3% 29.0%
Charlie Flynn 1.4% 1.5% 2.2% 2.5% 3.6% 4.6% 4.4% 7.6% 7.9% 10.3% 15.1% 13.5% 15.3% 10.1%
Victoria LaRow 1.8% 1.8% 2.7% 1.7% 4.3% 4.0% 5.1% 6.4% 9.3% 10.8% 12.5% 15.6% 14.9% 9.1%
Bianca Robertson 0.5% 0.6% 1.2% 0.8% 1.4% 2.3% 2.2% 2.8% 3.9% 6.4% 8.8% 10.4% 19.2% 39.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.