Race 3A

veitor

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

21.4%
Within 2 Positions
3.3
Avg Position Diff
14
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14
Samuel Ingham 26.3% 22.4% 13.4% 12.8% 9.4% 5.3% 4.4% 2.3% 1.6% 1.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Ben Greenfield 15.8% 13.8% 15.6% 12.3% 11.3% 9.6% 7.4% 5.5% 3.7% 2.8% 1.5% 0.4% 0.1% 0.2%
Christian Manchester 9.8% 11.4% 13.8% 11.0% 9.6% 10.2% 9.1% 7.6% 6.4% 4.8% 3.6% 1.8% 0.7% 0.2%
Quentin Chafee 4.2% 6.6% 7.7% 7.2% 6.4% 7.6% 9.5% 10.0% 9.5% 8.4% 8.5% 6.5% 4.8% 3.1%
Reeve Dunne 2.1% 2.9% 3.7% 4.5% 5.6% 5.5% 5.5% 7.0% 6.7% 9.1% 10.4% 11.2% 13.2% 12.6%
Graham Philpot 1.3% 2.4% 1.5% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 3.7% 3.9% 5.3% 6.0% 8.3% 12.3% 15.5% 31.6%
Peter Giuliano 4.0% 3.7% 5.1% 5.8% 6.0% 5.4% 7.4% 7.9% 7.6% 9.1% 9.4% 10.2% 9.9% 8.5%
Elizabeth Barry 11.4% 12.3% 12.3% 9.4% 11.0% 9.9% 8.6% 7.1% 5.9% 5.2% 3.3% 2.3% 0.9% 0.4%
Christopher Poole 4.5% 3.6% 4.4% 6.0% 4.8% 7.0% 6.8% 8.7% 10.3% 10.6% 9.0% 9.6% 9.0% 5.7%
Andrew Kurzrok 3.7% 3.4% 4.3% 4.9% 7.8% 6.9% 7.5% 7.7% 8.7% 9.5% 9.2% 10.3% 9.6% 6.5%
Will Pelleteri 3.3% 3.2% 2.8% 5.6% 4.8% 6.8% 6.8% 7.4% 9.0% 8.6% 10.2% 11.2% 10.5% 9.8%
Matthew Schon 6.6% 6.8% 6.8% 9.1% 9.2% 10.7% 10.4% 8.7% 8.1% 7.1% 6.4% 4.2% 3.5% 2.4%
Billy Hines 2.9% 3.1% 2.9% 3.8% 3.7% 5.3% 5.5% 6.8% 7.5% 9.0% 9.7% 10.6% 14.4% 14.8%
Conor Lodge 4.1% 4.4% 5.7% 5.8% 7.7% 6.1% 7.4% 9.4% 9.7% 8.6% 10.2% 9.0% 7.7% 4.2%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.