Race 4B

gavin

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Nick Myneni 58.0% 27.9% 10.2% 3.1% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Astrid Myhre 5.2% 8.9% 15.8% 17.8% 17.5% 14.8% 11.7% 5.5% 2.4% 0.5%
Kate Sorbie 6.8% 11.5% 19.7% 20.1% 16.6% 13.1% 7.5% 3.8% 1.1% 0.1%
Hannah Monville 3.1% 5.7% 8.6% 11.8% 14.1% 16.6% 16.4% 12.3% 8.9% 2.4%
George Prokop 2.5% 3.8% 7.1% 9.6% 11.9% 14.4% 17.1% 16.6% 12.9% 4.1%
Lila Torresen 19.2% 33.3% 23.9% 13.9% 6.8% 2.1% 0.6% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0%
Adam Bryan 0.2% 0.7% 0.8% 1.6% 3.0% 2.9% 4.6% 8.4% 17.0% 60.8%
Alex Schlotterer 1.5% 2.1% 3.2% 5.5% 7.8% 10.1% 11.8% 17.2% 24.1% 16.8%
Leo Barch 1.5% 2.5% 4.9% 6.1% 8.8% 10.5% 14.4% 18.8% 21.1% 11.3%
Nathaniel Bacheller 2.1% 3.9% 5.8% 10.8% 12.7% 15.2% 16.0% 17.3% 12.4% 4.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.