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📊 Prediction Accuracy
26.7%
Within 2 Positions
3.9
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1University of New Hampshire1.81+10.04vs Predicted
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2Salve Regina University3.92+2.52vs Predicted
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3Brown University3.03+4.33vs Predicted
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4Boston University4.07+0.22vs Predicted
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5U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.32+1.54vs Predicted
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6University of Rhode Island3.07+1.28vs Predicted
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9Tufts University2.91-1.25vs Predicted
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10Roger Williams University3.15-3.05vs Predicted
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11University of Vermont3.11-3.91vs Predicted
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12Northeastern University2.70-3.45vs Predicted
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13Connecticut College3.66-7.53vs Predicted
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14University of Connecticut2.59-4.93vs Predicted
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15Middlebury College1.87-3.76vs Predicted
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16Maine Maritime Academy1.38-3.70vs Predicted
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17Amherst College2.01-6.37vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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11.04University of New Hampshire1.810.0%1st Place
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4.52Salve Regina University3.920.2%1st Place
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7.33Brown University3.030.1%1st Place
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4.22Boston University4.070.2%1st Place
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6.54U. S. Coast Guard Academy3.320.1%1st Place
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7.28University of Rhode Island3.070.1%1st Place
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7.75Tufts University2.910.1%1st Place
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6.95Roger Williams University3.150.1%1st Place
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7.09University of Vermont3.110.1%1st Place
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8.55Northeastern University2.700.0%1st Place
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5.47Connecticut College3.660.1%1st Place
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9.07University of Connecticut2.590.0%1st Place
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11.24Middlebury College1.870.0%1st Place
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12.3Maine Maritime Academy1.380.0%1st Place
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10.63Amherst College2.010.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Neal Drake | 1.9% | 2.7% | 2.4% | 2.8% | 3.2% | 2.6% | 2.9% | 4.8% | 5.9% | 6.8% | 6.9% | 7.2% | 13.4% | 16.8% | 19.7% |
| Peter Pellegrini | 15.9% | 15.0% | 13.8% | 12.1% | 10.7% | 8.4% | 6.8% | 5.6% | 3.8% | 3.8% | 2.4% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Cecilia Strombeck | 5.8% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 6.8% | 8.4% | 7.7% | 7.0% | 8.5% | 10.0% | 7.4% | 7.4% | 7.2% | 5.0% | 3.6% | 0.7% |
| Ben Greenfield | 18.5% | 16.8% | 11.9% | 11.8% | 11.3% | 8.7% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.4% | 1.8% | 1.6% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jennifer Proctor | 8.8% | 8.6% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 9.2% | 8.9% | 9.5% | 9.0% | 7.5% | 6.7% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 3.1% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| Weston Barlow | 6.0% | 5.8% | 7.2% | 8.0% | 6.9% | 8.7% | 9.2% | 8.8% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 7.4% | 6.6% | 4.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% |
| Andrew Meleny | 6.5% | 5.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 6.8% | 7.7% | 8.8% | 7.3% | 8.4% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 7.6% | 6.8% | 4.5% | 1.7% |
| Andrew Tamblyn | 7.4% | 6.9% | 8.4% | 7.9% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.0% | 9.5% | 7.7% | 7.8% | 8.2% | 5.4% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 0.8% |
| Quentin Chafee | 6.0% | 6.9% | 7.4% | 8.3% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 8.5% | 8.2% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 7.8% | 6.8% | 4.1% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| Ryan White | 3.7% | 4.4% | 4.9% | 5.6% | 6.5% | 6.4% | 7.2% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 10.0% | 9.2% | 6.3% | 2.9% |
| Michael Marshall | 11.4% | 12.8% | 11.8% | 10.4% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 8.9% | 7.2% | 5.2% | 5.1% | 4.2% | 3.1% | 2.0% | 0.8% | 0.1% |
| John Giuliano | 3.1% | 3.0% | 3.5% | 6.1% | 5.7% | 6.5% | 5.8% | 6.4% | 7.3% | 10.3% | 9.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 8.4% | 3.3% |
| Benjamin Brown | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 3.1% | 3.6% | 2.8% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.7% | 7.0% | 12.0% | 12.3% | 18.2% | 18.8% |
| Andrew McHenry | 1.3% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.7% | 1.3% | 2.4% | 2.1% | 3.3% | 4.0% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 6.8% | 11.2% | 16.9% | 35.6% |
| Tyler Black | 2.0% | 3.2% | 2.9% | 2.5% | 3.2% | 3.7% | 4.1% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.4% | 12.9% | 15.8% | 14.3% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.