Race 2A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Emilia Perriera 9.4% 8.3% 9.8% 10.3% 11.1% 11.8% 11.2% 10.5% 12.5% 5.0%
John Mason 19.6% 17.0% 13.4% 13.9% 12.2% 9.2% 6.2% 5.1% 2.9% 0.5%
Sage Andrews 8.9% 9.9% 11.0% 10.9% 13.0% 11.1% 11.2% 11.0% 9.2% 3.9%
Ted Richardsson 9.4% 9.8% 11.2% 10.4% 11.7% 11.2% 13.5% 11.6% 8.8% 2.5%
Genevieve Lau 21.6% 20.2% 16.4% 13.4% 10.1% 7.8% 5.5% 3.2% 1.4% 0.3%
Aoife Mahoney 8.0% 9.2% 9.3% 9.6% 9.7% 10.8% 12.0% 12.6% 13.2% 5.5%
Michael Cunniff 6.0% 6.6% 7.2% 8.2% 9.0% 11.0% 12.5% 13.9% 16.7% 9.0%
Caleb Burt 6.7% 7.9% 9.2% 9.6% 9.2% 10.9% 12.0% 13.8% 14.1% 6.5%
Gabrielle Ahitow 8.8% 9.4% 10.0% 11.5% 10.8% 12.7% 12.2% 12.1% 9.8% 2.8%
Owen Peterson 1.6% 1.8% 2.4% 2.2% 3.2% 3.5% 3.6% 6.2% 11.5% 63.9%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.