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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.54vs Predicted
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2Hampton University2.26+4.85vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.72+2.68vs Predicted
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4St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+2.87vs Predicted
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5Old Dominion University2.89+0.15vs Predicted
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6SUNY Maritime College2.14+1.36vs Predicted
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7Georgetown University3.69-3.60vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University2.16-0.82vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.59+2.47vs Predicted
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10Christopher Newport University1.89-1.97vs Predicted
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11U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84-2.82vs Predicted
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12SUNY Maritime College1.69-3.37vs Predicted
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13Virginia Tech0.59-1.53vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.34-0.52vs Predicted
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15University of Maryland0.45-3.21vs Predicted
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16American University-1.27-1.09vs Predicted
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17William and Mary-0.28-3.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.54Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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6.85Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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5.68George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.87St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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5.15Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.36SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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3.4Georgetown University3.690.2%1st Place
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7.18Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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11.47Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.03Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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8.18U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.0%1st Place
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8.63SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.47Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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13.48Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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11.79University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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14.91American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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13.47William and Mary-0.280.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 22.8% | 16.5% | 19.3% | 11.7% | 9.6% | 7.5% | 6.6% | 2.3% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.2% | 8.2% | 6.2% | 8.7% | 9.1% | 9.3% | 9.2% | 9.3% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 7.2% | 5.5% | 2.0% | 1.1% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 9.7% | 8.7% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.0% | 11.6% | 9.3% | 6.6% | 5.6% | 2.5% | 2.3% | 1.2% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 5.0% | 6.7% | 7.4% | 8.7% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 9.8% | 10.8% | 9.2% | 8.4% | 8.6% | 4.9% | 2.1% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 10.4% | 11.8% | 12.0% | 10.8% | 12.7% | 10.3% | 9.0% | 7.9% | 6.7% | 4.0% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 4.6% | 4.2% | 6.5% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 5.7% | 5.1% | 1.4% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 24.2% | 19.9% | 15.7% | 11.5% | 9.9% | 7.9% | 5.4% | 2.2% | 2.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kelleher | 5.0% | 6.5% | 5.9% | 7.0% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 8.4% | 11.0% | 10.5% | 10.4% | 7.4% | 5.4% | 3.5% | 1.0% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.0% | 4.2% | 6.0% | 4.8% | 6.1% | 6.0% | 8.5% | 10.5% | 10.6% | 12.4% | 9.9% | 9.5% | 4.6% | 2.2% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 3.8% | 5.1% | 4.5% | 5.9% | 6.1% | 6.4% | 6.9% | 8.1% | 12.1% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 9.3% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 2.7% | 4.0% | 3.7% | 5.4% | 6.2% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 7.7% | 8.3% | 9.6% | 12.9% | 11.5% | 8.1% | 3.8% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.0% | 1.6% | 1.7% | 2.5% | 1.2% | 2.5% | 2.7% | 3.7% | 4.5% | 6.1% | 8.8% | 14.8% | 17.9% | 18.5% | 9.4% | 3.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 2.9% | 5.1% | 7.5% | 12.9% | 16.9% | 30.1% | 16.7% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.8% | 1.5% | 0.6% | 1.4% | 2.6% | 1.4% | 2.4% | 3.3% | 5.1% | 6.3% | 8.0% | 13.2% | 19.1% | 19.3% | 11.0% | 4.0% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.9% | 4.4% | 9.0% | 17.6% | 60.5% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Holderness | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.6% | 2.2% | 3.0% | 4.3% | 6.2% | 11.8% | 22.8% | 28.2% | 15.4% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.