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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.57vs Predicted
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2SUNY Maritime College2.14+5.19vs Predicted
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3Old Dominion University2.89+2.19vs Predicted
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4Christopher Newport University1.89+4.14vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.72+0.67vs Predicted
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6Georgetown University2.16+1.34vs Predicted
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7Hampton University2.260.00vs Predicted
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8Georgetown University3.69-4.78vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.30vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.36vs Predicted
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11Virginia Tech0.59+0.49vs Predicted
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12U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84-3.81vs Predicted
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13William and Mary-0.28+0.37vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.34-0.57vs Predicted
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15American University-1.27-0.07vs Predicted
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16Virginia Tech0.59-4.51vs Predicted
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17University of Maryland0.45-5.06vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.57Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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7.19SUNY Maritime College2.140.0%1st Place
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5.19Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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8.14Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
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5.67George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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7.34Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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7.0Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
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3.22Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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6.7St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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8.64SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.49Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.0%1st Place
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13.37William and Mary-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.43Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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14.93American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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11.49Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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11.94University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 21.0% | 18.7% | 17.9% | 13.4% | 8.6% | 7.7% | 5.4% | 3.9% | 1.8% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 4.4% | 6.8% | 7.4% | 6.8% | 8.2% | 7.5% | 11.0% | 7.9% | 11.1% | 9.7% | 8.8% | 6.0% | 2.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 10.1% | 10.4% | 11.2% | 11.7% | 12.8% | 12.0% | 10.4% | 7.1% | 6.5% | 4.2% | 1.9% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 3.2% | 4.1% | 5.7% | 5.7% | 6.1% | 6.9% | 7.7% | 10.4% | 9.8% | 10.0% | 11.3% | 10.0% | 6.6% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 8.5% | 9.4% | 10.1% | 11.1% | 11.2% | 9.7% | 12.1% | 8.0% | 7.4% | 5.9% | 3.4% | 2.6% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kelleher | 5.4% | 3.5% | 6.8% | 7.5% | 8.8% | 10.4% | 8.7% | 8.9% | 10.1% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 6.1% | 4.8% | 1.6% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 6.1% | 6.8% | 5.3% | 7.4% | 8.8% | 10.1% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 9.9% | 10.3% | 7.1% | 5.6% | 3.3% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 26.1% | 20.5% | 15.8% | 12.7% | 10.1% | 6.8% | 2.7% | 3.3% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 5.7% | 7.4% | 7.9% | 8.0% | 9.3% | 9.9% | 9.0% | 11.0% | 9.3% | 8.1% | 6.9% | 3.6% | 2.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 3.2% | 4.0% | 3.4% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 4.9% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 11.3% | 12.3% | 12.9% | 10.7% | 6.4% | 3.5% | 1.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 3.6% | 4.5% | 4.1% | 5.6% | 6.6% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 9.4% | 9.4% | 8.8% | 12.9% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.8% | 0.6% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Holderness | 0.7% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.8% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 0.8% | 1.9% | 1.5% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 8.0% | 11.8% | 21.2% | 27.1% | 15.5% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.2% | 0.5% | 1.0% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.6% | 1.8% | 3.1% | 4.7% | 6.7% | 13.0% | 20.2% | 26.3% | 17.5% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.5% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.7% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 0.8% | 1.1% | 2.7% | 3.8% | 8.6% | 19.8% | 59.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.5% | 1.5% | 1.9% | 1.9% | 2.0% | 2.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 6.5% | 7.9% | 13.7% | 18.7% | 17.8% | 11.1% | 2.6% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.4% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 2.2% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.7% | 7.0% | 6.7% | 13.3% | 19.4% | 18.9% | 12.9% | 4.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.