← Back to Regatta
📊 Prediction Accuracy
35.3%
Within 2 Positions
3.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
-
1Hampton University2.26+5.83vs Predicted
-
2Georgetown University3.53+1.66vs Predicted
-
3SUNY Maritime College2.14+4.27vs Predicted
-
4George Washington University2.72+1.74vs Predicted
-
5St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32+1.80vs Predicted
-
6Virginia Tech0.59+5.58vs Predicted
-
7U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84+1.19vs Predicted
-
8Georgetown University3.69-4.75vs Predicted
-
9Old Dominion University2.89-3.90vs Predicted
-
10SUNY Maritime College1.69-1.35vs Predicted
-
11Christopher Newport University1.89-3.06vs Predicted
-
12Georgetown University2.16-4.72vs Predicted
-
13William and Mary-0.28+0.38vs Predicted
-
14University of Maryland0.45-2.16vs Predicted
-
15Virginia Tech0.59-3.42vs Predicted
-
16Catholic University of America-0.34-2.45vs Predicted
-
17American University-1.27-2.07vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
-
6.83Hampton University2.260.0%1st Place
-
3.66Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
-
7.27SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
-
5.74George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
-
6.8St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
-
11.58Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
8.19U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.0%1st Place
-
3.25Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
-
5.1Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
-
8.65SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
-
7.94Christopher Newport University1.890.0%1st Place
-
7.28Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
-
13.38William and Mary-0.280.0%1st Place
-
11.84University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
-
11.58Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
-
13.55Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
-
14.93American University-1.270.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luca Taglialegne | 4.8% | 7.0% | 7.9% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 9.8% | 10.2% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 9.4% | 7.3% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andy Reiter | 20.9% | 18.5% | 16.0% | 11.9% | 9.9% | 8.5% | 7.2% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 1.3% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 5.2% | 4.9% | 6.4% | 7.4% | 8.4% | 7.8% | 8.8% | 11.4% | 11.7% | 9.0% | 8.5% | 5.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 8.2% | 8.8% | 10.0% | 10.8% | 13.0% | 10.3% | 8.8% | 8.9% | 8.2% | 6.4% | 3.7% | 1.8% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 5.5% | 5.8% | 7.5% | 9.0% | 9.6% | 10.0% | 9.4% | 10.0% | 8.3% | 10.4% | 6.4% | 4.8% | 2.5% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 3.4% | 5.2% | 4.6% | 5.1% | 6.1% | 7.4% | 8.5% | 8.9% | 8.5% | 10.8% | 10.6% | 10.5% | 7.7% | 2.2% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 25.6% | 19.9% | 16.9% | 11.9% | 10.6% | 6.7% | 3.7% | 2.1% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 10.4% | 11.5% | 13.4% | 12.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 9.3% | 8.2% | 5.9% | 3.3% | 2.8% | 1.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 3.4% | 4.1% | 3.8% | 3.6% | 4.7% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 8.8% | 10.6% | 10.2% | 12.8% | 11.3% | 6.7% | 4.5% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Spencer Charney | 4.8% | 4.6% | 4.4% | 6.1% | 6.1% | 8.0% | 8.6% | 8.2% | 10.7% | 10.0% | 11.4% | 8.6% | 6.0% | 2.0% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kelleher | 5.2% | 5.6% | 5.6% | 7.9% | 8.2% | 9.1% | 9.0% | 9.8% | 9.2% | 9.6% | 9.0% | 6.4% | 3.9% | 1.2% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Holderness | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.7% | 0.6% | 2.0% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 3.3% | 4.1% | 7.1% | 13.4% | 19.6% | 28.3% | 15.3% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 0.6% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 1.2% | 2.1% | 1.9% | 2.2% | 3.5% | 4.8% | 5.7% | 8.1% | 15.4% | 15.0% | 21.2% | 11.3% | 4.5% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 0.8% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.8% | 1.3% | 2.6% | 3.1% | 3.8% | 5.1% | 6.6% | 9.5% | 12.5% | 20.1% | 15.6% | 11.9% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.6% | 0.6% | 1.0% | 0.6% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 2.1% | 2.6% | 3.3% | 6.8% | 12.2% | 20.5% | 28.0% | 18.8% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.0% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.3% | 0.3% | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.5% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.7% | 2.7% | 5.4% | 10.1% | 18.0% | 58.2% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.