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📊 Prediction Accuracy
50.0%
Within 2 Positions
2.4
Avg Position Diff
16
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.53+2.44vs Predicted
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2George Washington University2.72+3.21vs Predicted
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3SUNY Maritime College2.14+3.74vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University3.69-0.82vs Predicted
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5Georgetown University2.16+1.84vs Predicted
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6Virginia Tech0.59+4.74vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University2.89-2.09vs Predicted
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8U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.84-0.32vs Predicted
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9St. Mary's College of Maryland2.32-2.67vs Predicted
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10Virginia Tech0.59+0.74vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.69-2.85vs Predicted
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12University of Maryland0.45-0.98vs Predicted
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13Catholic University of America-0.34-0.22vs Predicted
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14William and Mary-0.28-1.42vs Predicted
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15American University-1.27-1.07vs Predicted
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16Hampton University2.26-9.53vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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3.44Georgetown University3.530.2%1st Place
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5.21George Washington University2.720.1%1st Place
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6.74SUNY Maritime College2.140.1%1st Place
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3.18Georgetown University3.690.3%1st Place
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6.84Georgetown University2.160.1%1st Place
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10.74Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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4.91Old Dominion University2.890.1%1st Place
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7.68U. S. Merchant Marine Academy1.840.0%1st Place
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6.33St. Mary's College of Maryland2.320.1%1st Place
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10.74Virginia Tech0.590.0%1st Place
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8.15SUNY Maritime College1.690.0%1st Place
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11.02University of Maryland0.450.0%1st Place
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12.78Catholic University of America-0.340.0%1st Place
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12.58William and Mary-0.280.0%1st Place
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13.93American University-1.270.0%1st Place
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6.47Hampton University2.260.1%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andy Reiter | 20.9% | 20.9% | 17.1% | 13.5% | 10.0% | 6.4% | 6.2% | 2.6% | 1.2% | 0.7% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Andrew Sheerin | 8.5% | 12.3% | 11.0% | 11.1% | 13.2% | 11.5% | 10.1% | 7.9% | 6.4% | 4.7% | 2.8% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| John Lawless | 5.9% | 4.7% | 7.4% | 8.9% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 11.4% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 12.1% | 6.5% | 2.9% | 0.8% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| JC Hermus | 25.1% | 22.4% | 14.4% | 13.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 3.9% | 2.1% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Noah Kelleher | 5.7% | 5.7% | 7.6% | 7.5% | 6.8% | 10.4% | 9.2% | 11.8% | 13.2% | 10.4% | 5.9% | 3.9% | 1.7% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Jack Elkin | 11.6% | 10.0% | 12.9% | 13.0% | 13.0% | 11.5% | 10.0% | 6.9% | 4.6% | 4.1% | 1.7% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Kieran Cullen | 3.7% | 4.1% | 5.4% | 6.4% | 8.1% | 7.8% | 7.7% | 9.4% | 13.0% | 12.1% | 11.0% | 8.1% | 2.9% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Joshua Paper | 5.9% | 6.0% | 8.8% | 9.0% | 9.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 14.0% | 9.0% | 7.7% | 4.7% | 2.9% | 0.5% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Christopher Magno | 1.3% | 1.7% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 1.8% | 3.0% | 3.6% | 4.6% | 5.2% | 8.8% | 15.6% | 21.9% | 17.2% | 9.7% | 2.8% | 0.0% |
| Hunter Kahler | 3.4% | 3.2% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 5.4% | 7.2% | 8.2% | 11.3% | 12.4% | 13.7% | 12.8% | 8.3% | 3.4% | 1.3% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Derek Safieh | 1.1% | 1.0% | 1.3% | 1.4% | 1.5% | 2.8% | 4.0% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 8.4% | 13.5% | 19.1% | 19.0% | 13.1% | 4.1% | 0.0% |
| Grace Wagner | 0.6% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.5% | 1.2% | 1.8% | 3.7% | 6.7% | 11.7% | 22.5% | 27.1% | 20.3% | 0.0% |
| Alexander Holderness | 0.4% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.7% | 0.9% | 1.5% | 2.0% | 2.2% | 2.6% | 3.9% | 6.8% | 13.8% | 20.1% | 27.4% | 17.4% | 0.0% |
| Cala Coffman | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.4% | 0.4% | 0.3% | 0.7% | 1.1% | 0.9% | 4.4% | 4.4% | 10.7% | 20.8% | 55.2% | 0.0% |
| Luca Taglialegne | 5.9% | 7.3% | 8.1% | 8.1% | 9.7% | 8.6% | 11.4% | 10.4% | 12.0% | 8.7% | 6.8% | 2.0% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.