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📊 Prediction Accuracy
41.2%
Within 2 Positions
2.3
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.71vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.53vs Predicted
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3Georgetown University2.04+2.68vs Predicted
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4Virginia Tech0.47+6.04vs Predicted
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5George Washington University2.68-0.83vs Predicted
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6St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80+0.38vs Predicted
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7Virginia Tech0.47+3.04vs Predicted
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8Christopher Newport University2.31-2.95vs Predicted
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9Old Dominion University1.51-1.98vs Predicted
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10Hampton University0.69-0.72vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.66vs Predicted
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12William and Mary0.37-1.85vs Predicted
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13SUNY Maritime College0.49-3.11vs Predicted
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14University of Maryland-0.33-2.16vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-2.34vs Predicted
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16Catholic University of America-1.77-1.51vs Predicted
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17American University-1.94-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.71Georgetown University3.380.3%1st Place
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4.53U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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5.68Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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10.04Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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4.17George Washington University2.680.1%1st Place
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6.38St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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10.04Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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5.05Christopher Newport University2.310.1%1st Place
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7.02Old Dominion University1.510.0%1st Place
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9.28Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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7.34SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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10.15William and Mary0.370.0%1st Place
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9.89SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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11.84University of Maryland-0.330.0%1st Place
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12.66U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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14.49Catholic University of America-1.770.0%1st Place
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14.77American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 32.4% | 23.3% | 17.0% | 11.2% | 7.8% | 4.1% | 2.4% | 0.9% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 13.0% | 14.0% | 12.6% | 14.7% | 12.3% | 9.3% | 8.7% | 7.1% | 4.3% | 2.4% | 1.2% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 8.3% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 10.2% | 9.2% | 13.2% | 13.8% | 8.5% | 7.3% | 6.1% | 2.6% | 1.5% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 14.2% | 15.2% | 15.9% | 13.4% | 13.9% | 9.4% | 7.1% | 5.8% | 2.9% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 5.6% | 5.8% | 8.9% | 9.9% | 11.2% | 10.9% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 9.5% | 8.1% | 4.8% | 3.3% | 1.5% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.1% | 2.0% | 2.1% | 4.1% | 3.3% | 3.4% | 5.0% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 11.0% | 13.8% | 13.1% | 13.3% | 8.9% | 3.5% | 0.5% | 0.0% |
| Javier Gonzalez Rotge | 10.7% | 11.3% | 10.5% | 13.2% | 12.6% | 11.3% | 10.3% | 7.8% | 5.6% | 3.9% | 1.6% | 0.9% | 0.2% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 4.3% | 5.0% | 6.7% | 8.4% | 8.4% | 10.6% | 10.0% | 10.7% | 11.1% | 11.0% | 6.4% | 4.5% | 2.3% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 2.0% | 3.5% | 2.5% | 3.0% | 4.0% | 5.1% | 6.5% | 8.7% | 10.0% | 12.3% | 14.3% | 11.5% | 9.2% | 5.4% | 1.8% | 0.2% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 4.0% | 5.6% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 7.9% | 9.1% | 11.5% | 11.8% | 14.3% | 9.0% | 6.9% | 5.1% | 3.0% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Connor Chapin | 1.8% | 2.0% | 2.4% | 2.6% | 2.8% | 3.5% | 4.9% | 5.7% | 7.8% | 11.2% | 14.0% | 15.4% | 12.0% | 9.4% | 3.8% | 0.7% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.4% | 2.0% | 3.1% | 2.5% | 2.8% | 5.4% | 5.1% | 8.5% | 7.7% | 10.9% | 11.6% | 14.3% | 12.9% | 8.7% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Jacob Stoner | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.2% | 1.7% | 1.8% | 2.4% | 3.5% | 5.6% | 5.8% | 10.5% | 13.4% | 18.2% | 18.0% | 12.9% | 2.7% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Comer | 0.3% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 0.4% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 1.8% | 2.6% | 2.7% | 4.5% | 7.6% | 9.8% | 15.4% | 25.2% | 17.7% | 7.7% | 0.0% |
| Chris Lukas | 0.2% | 0.4% | 0.6% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 0.6% | 0.5% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 1.4% | 1.9% | 3.3% | 6.2% | 11.9% | 30.7% | 39.9% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.4% | 0.8% | 0.2% | 0.6% | 1.3% | 1.0% | 1.8% | 3.3% | 5.3% | 10.7% | 26.4% | 48.0% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.