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📊 Prediction Accuracy
47.1%
Within 2 Positions
2.0
Avg Position Diff
17
Total Participants
🏁 Actual Results
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1Georgetown University3.38+1.51vs Predicted
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2U. S. Naval Academy2.49+2.24vs Predicted
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3George Washington University2.68+0.87vs Predicted
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4Georgetown University2.04+1.40vs Predicted
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5Virginia Tech0.47+4.56vs Predicted
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6Christopher Newport University1.11+1.86vs Predicted
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7Old Dominion University1.51-0.25vs Predicted
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8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.80-2.20vs Predicted
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9Virginia Tech0.47+0.56vs Predicted
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10SUNY Maritime College1.44-3.17vs Predicted
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11SUNY Maritime College0.49-1.43vs Predicted
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12William and Mary-0.76+0.49vs Predicted
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13Hampton University0.69-4.03vs Predicted
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14Catholic University of America-0.38-2.26vs Predicted
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15U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.74-2.51vs Predicted
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16University of Maryland-0.97-2.88vs Predicted
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17American University-1.94-2.23vs Predicted
🎯 Predicted Standings
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2.51Georgetown University3.380.4%1st Place
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4.24U. S. Naval Academy2.490.1%1st Place
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3.87George Washington University2.680.2%1st Place
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5.4Georgetown University2.040.1%1st Place
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9.56Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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7.86Christopher Newport University1.110.0%1st Place
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6.75Old Dominion University1.510.1%1st Place
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5.8St. Mary's College of Maryland1.800.1%1st Place
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9.56Virginia Tech0.470.0%1st Place
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6.83SUNY Maritime College1.440.0%1st Place
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9.57SUNY Maritime College0.490.0%1st Place
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12.49William and Mary-0.760.0%1st Place
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8.97Hampton University0.690.0%1st Place
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11.74Catholic University of America-0.380.0%1st Place
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12.49U. S. Merchant Marine Academy-0.740.0%1st Place
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13.12University of Maryland-0.970.0%1st Place
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14.77American University-1.940.0%1st Place
Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)
| Skipper | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jack Reiter | 35.2% | 24.8% | 15.9% | 11.5% | 6.4% | 4.0% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Gray Benson | 14.3% | 13.4% | 17.7% | 13.6% | 11.0% | 10.6% | 7.1% | 6.9% | 3.1% | 1.2% | 0.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Matt Logue | 15.2% | 17.2% | 17.0% | 14.6% | 13.8% | 9.1% | 6.7% | 2.2% | 2.8% | 1.1% | 0.0% | 0.3% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Macey McCann | 8.0% | 9.8% | 10.6% | 11.9% | 12.2% | 12.3% | 10.9% | 9.1% | 7.7% | 3.9% | 2.4% | 0.8% | 0.4% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Daniel Hodges | 3.1% | 3.2% | 4.3% | 6.8% | 7.6% | 10.0% | 9.9% | 9.3% | 10.6% | 11.1% | 11.4% | 5.0% | 5.2% | 1.9% | 0.6% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Hannah Pokorny | 5.5% | 5.9% | 6.3% | 8.1% | 9.5% | 9.1% | 11.9% | 12.5% | 10.0% | 9.3% | 6.9% | 3.2% | 1.3% | 0.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Katherine Bennett | 6.5% | 9.7% | 8.9% | 10.7% | 10.9% | 12.0% | 11.2% | 11.1% | 7.6% | 6.0% | 2.9% | 1.6% | 0.8% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Reid Shanabrook | 1.7% | 1.6% | 2.9% | 2.8% | 3.7% | 5.8% | 6.6% | 8.3% | 9.2% | 12.5% | 12.7% | 13.6% | 9.4% | 6.1% | 2.5% | 0.6% | 0.0% |
| Aidan Molesky | 4.8% | 5.5% | 6.7% | 7.5% | 10.0% | 11.7% | 11.5% | 10.4% | 10.2% | 8.1% | 7.5% | 2.9% | 1.7% | 1.4% | 0.1% | 0.0% | 0.0% |
| Clara Guarascio | 1.8% | 2.1% | 2.8% | 4.3% | 2.8% | 4.2% | 5.7% | 8.2% | 10.5% | 11.9% | 12.8% | 13.4% | 10.5% | 5.9% | 2.8% | 0.3% | 0.0% |
| Alba Fernandez | 0.6% | 0.9% | 1.1% | 1.2% | 1.6% | 1.2% | 2.4% | 2.9% | 4.2% | 4.9% | 6.1% | 8.9% | 13.9% | 19.7% | 20.1% | 10.3% | 0.0% |
| Elisabeth Kuester | 1.7% | 3.4% | 3.0% | 3.8% | 5.5% | 5.4% | 8.2% | 8.7% | 11.6% | 11.1% | 12.4% | 11.8% | 6.7% | 3.9% | 2.7% | 0.1% | 0.0% |
| Alex Walters | 0.8% | 0.8% | 1.0% | 1.0% | 1.9% | 2.4% | 2.7% | 4.2% | 5.5% | 7.2% | 8.7% | 13.9% | 16.7% | 15.6% | 12.9% | 4.7% | 0.0% |
| Tanner Comer | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.9% | 1.2% | 1.3% | 1.1% | 1.5% | 3.1% | 4.1% | 5.5% | 8.3% | 11.2% | 15.1% | 17.6% | 17.6% | 10.4% | 0.0% |
| Lauren Brown | 0.6% | 0.7% | 0.8% | 0.8% | 0.9% | 1.0% | 1.7% | 1.5% | 2.2% | 4.5% | 4.6% | 8.8% | 13.6% | 18.1% | 23.9% | 16.3% | 0.0% |
| Jordan Manowitz | 0.0% | 0.1% | 0.1% | 0.2% | 0.9% | 0.1% | 0.6% | 1.1% | 0.6% | 1.6% | 2.5% | 4.2% | 4.7% | 9.3% | 16.7% | 57.3% | 0.0% |
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.