Race 3A

great-herring-pond-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

50.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Genevieve Lau 22.9% 18.1% 16.2% 13.8% 10.2% 6.9% 6.2% 4.2% 1.1% 0.5%
Sage Andrews 9.8% 9.2% 9.7% 11.2% 12.5% 12.8% 10.8% 11.3% 9.4% 3.2%
Emilia Perriera 7.0% 9.7% 9.8% 9.5% 11.5% 12.3% 11.8% 12.6% 11.9% 4.0%
Ted Richardsson 10.5% 11.2% 11.4% 11.6% 11.2% 11.1% 10.5% 10.6% 8.6% 3.5%
John Mason 18.1% 16.8% 16.1% 13.0% 12.3% 10.2% 7.8% 3.9% 1.8% 0.2%
Gabrielle Ahitow 9.9% 8.2% 10.6% 10.3% 9.2% 13.3% 12.3% 12.2% 9.3% 4.6%
Aoife Mahoney 7.7% 8.2% 8.5% 10.1% 10.2% 10.5% 13.2% 12.8% 13.2% 5.8%
Caleb Burt 6.2% 8.6% 8.4% 9.0% 11.1% 11.3% 12.0% 12.7% 14.3% 6.2%
Michael Cunniff 6.2% 8.5% 7.4% 8.8% 9.2% 8.7% 11.3% 13.2% 17.9% 8.7%
Owen Peterson 1.7% 1.7% 1.9% 2.8% 2.8% 2.9% 4.0% 6.5% 12.3% 63.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.