Race 6A

ri-state-champs

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

13.3%
Within 2 Positions
4.5
Avg Position Diff
15
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15
Quentin Chafee 7.6% 6.6% 6.9% 9.6% 8.8% 7.6% 7.6% 8.2% 8.3% 7.1% 7.5% 6.9% 3.3% 2.4% 1.6%
Jennifer Proctor 8.7% 9.3% 9.2% 9.2% 10.2% 8.1% 8.4% 7.5% 8.1% 7.0% 5.0% 5.4% 2.5% 0.9% 0.5%
Neal Drake 2.2% 1.8% 2.6% 1.3% 2.7% 4.3% 4.1% 4.9% 4.0% 5.2% 6.6% 11.0% 12.8% 18.0% 18.5%
Cecilia Strombeck 5.9% 5.3% 7.1% 9.0% 6.9% 8.6% 7.9% 8.1% 8.4% 8.4% 8.0% 6.7% 5.2% 3.4% 1.1%
Weston Barlow 7.3% 6.9% 7.0% 5.9% 8.4% 7.3% 6.3% 8.8% 11.0% 8.3% 7.3% 6.1% 5.3% 3.2% 0.9%
Benjamin Brown 2.1% 2.3% 2.3% 2.2% 2.9% 3.0% 3.7% 4.2% 4.1% 6.2% 8.3% 9.4% 16.0% 17.9% 15.4%
Ben Greenfield 17.0% 15.8% 14.9% 12.8% 10.1% 8.7% 6.4% 5.8% 2.6% 2.5% 2.2% 0.6% 0.4% 0.2% 0.0%
Peter Pellegrini 15.0% 15.0% 12.6% 10.7% 10.8% 7.6% 8.3% 7.7% 5.1% 3.2% 1.8% 1.2% 0.9% 0.1% 0.0%
Michael Marshall 11.1% 12.4% 12.4% 11.1% 9.5% 9.7% 9.0% 6.9% 6.4% 4.6% 3.8% 1.5% 1.1% 0.5% 0.0%
Andrew McHenry 1.2% 1.5% 1.4% 1.4% 1.4% 1.1% 2.6% 3.4% 2.5% 4.6% 5.7% 7.9% 10.2% 18.7% 36.4%
John Giuliano 4.0% 4.1% 4.3% 5.1% 5.1% 7.1% 7.2% 6.6% 7.0% 8.6% 9.2% 8.5% 9.9% 8.2% 5.1%
Andrew Tamblyn 6.3% 5.6% 7.8% 7.9% 7.6% 8.2% 8.6% 7.9% 9.0% 9.7% 7.2% 5.6% 4.6% 2.8% 1.2%
Andrew Meleny 4.6% 6.1% 5.2% 5.2% 7.2% 8.6% 6.8% 6.2% 9.7% 9.5% 9.2% 9.0% 6.8% 4.5% 1.4%
Tyler Black 2.2% 2.0% 2.5% 2.9% 2.8% 3.6% 4.4% 6.9% 6.6% 5.7% 8.8% 10.3% 13.2% 14.3% 13.8%
Ryan White 4.8% 5.3% 3.8% 5.7% 5.6% 6.5% 8.7% 6.9% 7.2% 9.4% 9.4% 9.9% 7.8% 4.9% 4.1%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.