Race 1A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

70.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Marina Barzaghi 17.1% 21.1% 21.3% 15.8% 11.1% 8.2% 3.2% 2.0% 0.1% 0.1%
Alie Toppa 50.0% 27.8% 14.6% 5.6% 1.3% 0.5% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Paula Resto 10.8% 15.9% 17.5% 19.1% 16.6% 9.5% 7.5% 2.5% 0.6% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 2.9% 4.2% 8.3% 9.9% 10.8% 16.1% 19.2% 17.0% 9.7% 1.9%
Olivia Keefe 6.4% 10.3% 10.9% 13.9% 17.6% 16.9% 12.5% 7.9% 3.0% 0.6%
Megan Ploch 4.4% 6.8% 7.9% 10.0% 14.2% 15.4% 15.7% 16.9% 7.0% 1.7%
Teagan Walsh 1.7% 2.8% 4.0% 6.4% 9.0% 10.6% 18.9% 24.6% 16.9% 5.1%
Margaret MacCormack 5.6% 9.8% 13.5% 15.0% 15.3% 15.1% 13.3% 9.4% 2.6% 0.4%
Amanda Heckler 0.8% 0.8% 1.2% 3.0% 2.4% 4.0% 6.0% 11.5% 36.4% 33.9%
Maddy Caruso 0.3% 0.5% 0.8% 1.3% 1.7% 3.7% 3.5% 8.2% 23.7% 56.3%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.