Race 2A

saisa-women-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.7
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 51.1% 26.3% 13.9% 5.2% 2.9% 0.5% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 4.6% 5.5% 7.8% 10.7% 11.9% 18.5% 15.7% 15.7% 7.5% 2.1%
Paula Resto 10.8% 16.5% 17.4% 18.8% 15.4% 10.0% 7.9% 2.5% 0.7% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 2.6% 4.8% 6.7% 10.3% 11.9% 16.0% 17.9% 18.3% 9.5% 2.0%
Marina Barzaghi 15.4% 22.6% 21.9% 16.3% 11.9% 7.2% 3.4% 1.1% 0.2% 0.0%
Olivia Keefe 7.7% 9.5% 12.0% 14.0% 15.1% 14.9% 15.7% 7.8% 2.6% 0.7%
Margaret MacCormack 5.2% 9.3% 12.8% 14.5% 17.0% 16.2% 12.6% 9.8% 2.1% 0.5%
Maddy Caruso 0.3% 0.3% 0.7% 1.8% 2.3% 2.1% 4.7% 9.2% 25.2% 53.4%
Amanda Heckler 0.8% 1.2% 1.6% 1.9% 2.6% 2.8% 7.5% 11.4% 34.5% 35.7%
Teagan Walsh 1.5% 4.0% 5.2% 6.5% 9.0% 11.8% 14.5% 24.2% 17.7% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.