Race 3A

saisa-women-open

← Back to Regatta

📊 Prediction Accuracy

90.0%
Within 2 Positions
0.9
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 52.1% 25.6% 12.9% 6.0% 2.0% 0.8% 0.6% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.9% 22.0% 21.1% 16.4% 12.4% 7.5% 4.1% 1.5% 0.1% 0.0%
Paula Resto 11.8% 15.0% 19.6% 16.8% 15.7% 10.5% 7.4% 2.7% 0.5% 0.0%
Margaret MacCormack 4.5% 10.1% 12.9% 15.4% 15.4% 15.3% 14.4% 8.6% 2.8% 0.6%
Olivia Keefe 6.6% 10.8% 10.1% 13.6% 18.1% 16.4% 12.8% 8.0% 3.1% 0.5%
Megan Ploch 5.0% 6.5% 7.7% 11.3% 12.4% 15.3% 17.4% 15.5% 7.0% 1.9%
Carrie Marshall 2.4% 4.9% 7.3% 10.1% 11.6% 16.7% 17.6% 17.6% 9.8% 2.0%
Amanda Heckler 0.5% 0.7% 1.7% 2.6% 2.7% 4.2% 6.6% 12.7% 34.8% 33.5%
Maddy Caruso 0.6% 0.4% 1.2% 1.2% 1.8% 2.7% 3.7% 8.5% 24.0% 55.9%
Teagan Walsh 1.6% 4.0% 5.5% 6.6% 7.9% 10.6% 15.4% 24.9% 17.9% 5.6%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.