Race 4A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

100.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.0
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 51.5% 26.5% 12.5% 6.1% 2.3% 0.9% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.7% 22.2% 22.0% 15.9% 12.5% 7.2% 3.7% 1.7% 0.1% 0.0%
Paula Resto 11.9% 14.7% 19.8% 16.6% 16.5% 10.7% 6.5% 2.7% 0.6% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 2.7% 5.8% 9.2% 11.9% 13.5% 15.2% 17.8% 15.8% 7.1% 1.0%
Olivia Keefe 6.4% 10.5% 10.4% 14.9% 15.5% 18.2% 12.0% 8.5% 3.2% 0.4%
Margaret MacCormack 6.9% 9.8% 12.3% 14.5% 15.4% 14.5% 13.4% 10.4% 2.5% 0.3%
Carrie Marshall 2.5% 4.8% 7.4% 10.4% 11.2% 16.1% 20.2% 16.5% 9.3% 1.6%
Teagan Walsh 2.2% 3.8% 5.1% 5.9% 8.9% 9.9% 16.3% 24.3% 17.7% 5.9%
Amanda Heckler 0.9% 1.1% 0.7% 2.4% 2.5% 4.3% 6.3% 12.0% 35.0% 34.8%
Maddy Caruso 0.3% 0.8% 0.6% 1.4% 1.7% 3.0% 3.6% 8.1% 24.5% 56.0%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.