Race 5A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

80.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.2
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 52.4% 25.0% 13.0% 6.0% 2.6% 0.8% 0.2% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.1% 22.8% 19.6% 17.5% 13.6% 6.6% 3.9% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Megan Ploch 4.1% 5.5% 8.2% 10.0% 11.9% 15.2% 20.2% 17.1% 6.1% 1.7%
Olivia Keefe 4.8% 9.1% 14.7% 14.3% 16.1% 16.8% 12.4% 9.1% 2.4% 0.3%
Margaret MacCormack 6.8% 9.3% 10.8% 15.4% 16.1% 18.3% 11.8% 8.0% 3.0% 0.5%
Carrie Marshall 3.8% 5.7% 8.9% 8.4% 10.4% 14.1% 19.0% 17.2% 10.2% 2.3%
Paula Resto 10.3% 17.4% 17.7% 20.0% 15.0% 9.9% 6.7% 2.3% 0.6% 0.1%
Teagan Walsh 2.2% 3.9% 5.3% 5.6% 8.6% 12.0% 16.0% 23.7% 17.3% 5.4%
Amanda Heckler 1.1% 0.8% 1.0% 1.9% 2.6% 3.9% 6.6% 11.8% 36.0% 34.3%
Maddy Caruso 0.4% 0.5% 0.8% 0.9% 3.1% 2.4% 3.2% 9.1% 24.2% 55.4%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.