Race 6A

saisa-women-open

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📊 Prediction Accuracy

60.0%
Within 2 Positions
1.5
Avg Position Diff
10
Total Participants

🏁 Actual Results

🎯 Predicted Standings

Expected Outcome Heatmap (per Skipper)

Skipper 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
Alie Toppa 52.6% 26.2% 11.4% 6.3% 2.6% 0.8% 0.1% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Marina Barzaghi 14.9% 21.7% 21.7% 16.1% 13.5% 6.9% 3.3% 1.7% 0.2% 0.0%
Carrie Marshall 3.3% 5.2% 8.0% 8.6% 10.4% 13.8% 19.6% 19.5% 9.8% 1.8%
Megan Ploch 2.6% 5.7% 9.9% 11.0% 13.8% 16.0% 16.5% 16.0% 7.0% 1.5%
Margaret MacCormack 7.1% 9.0% 12.4% 14.5% 14.8% 17.8% 12.0% 8.4% 3.5% 0.5%
Paula Resto 11.4% 17.8% 17.7% 17.4% 15.7% 10.7% 5.9% 2.6% 0.7% 0.1%
Olivia Keefe 5.6% 9.0% 11.9% 15.9% 17.1% 15.5% 13.3% 8.2% 2.9% 0.6%
Amanda Heckler 0.3% 1.0% 1.4% 3.4% 1.9% 4.4% 6.8% 12.1% 34.3% 34.4%
Teagan Walsh 1.8% 3.7% 5.2% 5.4% 8.1% 11.5% 18.5% 23.7% 16.5% 5.6%
Maddy Caruso 0.4% 0.7% 0.4% 1.4% 2.1% 2.6% 4.0% 7.8% 25.1% 55.5%
Heatmap showing P(finish = rank) for each skipper. Darker cells = higher probability.